The Coronavirus, not the beer
- Thread starter Runnin
- Start date
Likewise, the entire state of NY would have to have 50 percent of the population infected to justify a .1% death rate currently.
Worldwide, 6% of positive cases have died. Now certainly the death rate isn't 6 percent, but if I am not mistaken, this number has climbed from what it was a few weeks ago, which is concerning considering testing is considerably higher than it was a few weeks ago.
Worldwide, 6% of positive cases have died. Now certainly the death rate isn't 6 percent, but if I am not mistaken, this number has climbed from what it was a few weeks ago, which is concerning considering testing is considerably higher than it was a few weeks ago.
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CFR was always going to go up as cases finalized.
cajunrevenge
Well-known member
https://www.newsweek.com/chinese-ai...ia-mock-us-navys-coronavirus-troubles-1497539
China is laughing at us
China is laughing at us
nsacpi
Expects Yuge Games
we provide them with good material on a daily basis
Metaphysicist
Not Actually Brian Hunter
We better escalate our information warfare against them and start calling it the Ching-Chong Virus. That'll show them.
[Tw]1249755029613019138[/tw]
Antibody presence of 2.7% and 14% might seem small, and it would be if viruses evolved linearly. But viruses only attack susceptible hosts, and as they progress, the susceptible population shrinks. An epidemiologist contact at the University of Toronto was pleased to see the Denmark and Heinsberg results, and suggested we look at them through the lens of our “SIR” model to see why, using serology results as a better measure of “true” infection rates. Here’s what we found: herd immunity, estimated as 60% population exposure, might be closer than you think.
Antibody presence of 2.7% and 14% might seem small, and it would be if viruses evolved linearly. But viruses only attack susceptible hosts, and as they progress, the susceptible population shrinks. An epidemiologist contact at the University of Toronto was pleased to see the Denmark and Heinsberg results, and suggested we look at them through the lens of our “SIR” model to see why, using serology results as a better measure of “true” infection rates. Here’s what we found: herd immunity, estimated as 60% population exposure, might be closer than you think.
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goldfly
<B>if my thought dreams could be seen</B>
An evangelical pastor died of COVID-19 just weeks after proudly showing off how packed his Virginia church was — and vowing to keep preaching “unless I’m in jail or the hospital.”
In his last known in-person service on March 22, Bishop Gerald O. Glenn got his congregation at Richmond’s New Deliverance Evangelistic Church to stand to prove how many were there despite warnings against gatherings of more than 10 people.
“I firmly believe that God is larger than this dreaded virus. You can quote me on that,” he said, repeating it a second time to claps, saying that “people are healed” in his church.
Happily announcing he was being “controversial” by being “in violation” of safety protocols — with “way more than 10 people” at the church — he vowed to keep his church open “unless I’m in jail or the hospital.”
“I am essential,” he said of remaining open, adding, “I’m a preacher — I talk to God!”
https://nypost.com/2020/04/13/virgi...dcgACzupbGvkDQxFuf4VTwostMnh5M-8p5iLRZvf-mo0k
In his last known in-person service on March 22, Bishop Gerald O. Glenn got his congregation at Richmond’s New Deliverance Evangelistic Church to stand to prove how many were there despite warnings against gatherings of more than 10 people.
“I firmly believe that God is larger than this dreaded virus. You can quote me on that,” he said, repeating it a second time to claps, saying that “people are healed” in his church.
Happily announcing he was being “controversial” by being “in violation” of safety protocols — with “way more than 10 people” at the church — he vowed to keep his church open “unless I’m in jail or the hospital.”
“I am essential,” he said of remaining open, adding, “I’m a preacher — I talk to God!”
https://nypost.com/2020/04/13/virgi...dcgACzupbGvkDQxFuf4VTwostMnh5M-8p5iLRZvf-mo0k
As previously stated, it's literally impossible for the death rate in the highest impacted city on Earth (i.e. the largest data set) to be less than .1%
Not disagreeing with this point. We are talking about now a difference of one or two tenths of a percent.
Death rates also vary by region for various reasons.
We still get to the same conclusion though. The virus was not nearly as deadly as anyone thought and our decisions were based on terribly wrong assumptions.
States are now in a race to open up again because it's so obvious.
BedellBrave
It's OVER 5,000!
Odd, the post describing him as an "evangelical." While he likely fell within the theological spectrum of evangelical beliefs, most African-American churches aren't typically labeled such. Just an odd nomenclature thing.
Again, we don't know that. Are death rates much lower than the 3% hyped by WHO in the beginning? Definitely. Are they significantly less than 1%? It's still too early to say. If less than 1 million New Yorkers have or have had the virus, then death rates are right at 1 percent right this very minute. I think the number is higher. Probably around 1/5 of the population.
Deaths in NYC are likely to remain in the hundreds for several days if not longer, as new cases have only now (hopefully) plateaued. If death rates get north of 12k, it's almost a guarantee the death rate is .5% or worse, imo.
Death rate by region varies on factors outside of the virus since it mainly kills older and other compromised individuals. So if your area has more of that population you are at a risk to have a higher death rate.
In some areas the death rate will be less than .1%.
In some areas the death rate will be less than .1%.