The Coronavirus, not the beer

Officially into the sarcasm phase.

I guess we will just have to wait another week for Sweden to have 100's of deaths per day.
 
Carp said:
So what you are saying is they haven't peaked?
Click to expand...

No way have they peaked yet. It appears that the virus life cycle is longer than previously thought (contraction -> incubation -> symptoms -> hopsitalization -> Death / Recover).

However, the fact that the deaths are not growing in line with what the growth rate of the transmission of the virus means the following:

1) Immunity Walls are forming
2) Targetted mitigation work
 
It is worth noting that like everyone else the Swedes have been social distancing. But it is spontaneous not government directed.
 
I have to admit, I haven't been following the "Sweden" side-plot here. Are there actually people saying the moves Sweden took would have no effect at all, as thethe and his favorite twitter troll seem to be yelling about? Or is that just a strawman?
 
The point is that we were assured unless you had a complete lockdown the hospitals would be overrun and there would be dead bodies in the street.

The earth would open beneath us and Satans demens would arise and drink the blood of every child.

That kind of stuff.
 
Only people who don’t interact with the general public would ever say “Treat us like ****ing adults”

A great quote from men in black: “A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it.”
 
I know the two dudes (edit: one is a dudette) who wrote this article have professional degrees and credentials and use big words and so on. Even so I'm going to link to the article in case anyone is interested. Not that I expect anyone to be.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/...l?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage

During disease outbreaks, epidemiologists agonize about the timing and extent of interventions like social distancing to slow the spread. Their instincts are almost always to move sooner rather than later, because preventing new infections as early as possible can disrupt chains of transmission and save many lives. Our experience with Covid-19 makes that clear.

In cases like that of the novel coronavirus, for which we have neither an effective treatment nor a vaccine, interventions must go back to the basics, including simply keeping individuals from one another by prohibiting large gatherings, closing schools and asking people to stay at home. The graphic above illustrates the extraordinary effect that the timing of social distancing policies can have on an outbreak’s death toll.

On March 16, the White House issued initial social distancing guidelines, including closing schools and avoiding groups of more than 10. But an estimated 90 percent of the cumulative deaths in the United States from Covid-19, at least from the first wave of the epidemic, might have been prevented by putting social distancing policies into effect two weeks earlier, on March 2, when there were only 11 deaths in the entire country. The effect would have been substantial had the policies been imposed even one week earlier, on March 9, resulting in approximately a 60 percent reduction in deaths.
 
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