The Coronavirus, not the beer

if we follow sweden on this

i propose we follow sweden on literately every other political policy move
 
Carp said:
Even assuming those numbers aren't correct (unlikely since we know a bunch of people are dying at home), the death rate for KNOWN deaths will likely reach .2% today or tomorrow in NYC (and this is assuming your ridiculous notion that half of NYC is infected). And the numbers are growing on a daily basis. Could easily be at .3% this time next week.

Likewise, if half the city of Albany, GA has the virus, their death rate would also already be over .2%
Click to expand...

You are expecting the death rate to be a constant. Its a representation of how well a population addresses the true risk. Once we are smart about how we are managing this the death rate will plummet.
 
thethe said:
Then be honest and tell them that a majority of the population is at virtually no risk. Explain how herd immunity works. Explain that another month of exposure will effectively kill the virus transmission and keep the at risk at home during that period.
Click to expand...

Well another "month of exposure" is something you want to be careful about. If we had delayed social distancing by a month, the outcome would have been catastrophic.

But it isn't really an option. A large part of social distancing is now spontaneous. Not government directed. And there is little government can do to change it. People aren't going to eat out. Go to baseball games. Go to movies. Travel on a plane. Not gonna happen until they feel more safe.
 
Last edited:
Carp said:
Absolutely rooting for good news. But I can't help feeling sorry for their citizens. Especially if it gets a lot worse there.

Herd immunity, in general, takes much longer to develop than people are assuming. Sure, they may not experience a 2nd wave of new infections in 6 months, which is great in theory, but they are sacrificing a lot of lives in the process. Also, a vaccine could be developed in the coming months, making their entire exercise futile and the loss of thousands of lives unnecessary.
Click to expand...

The other question is how long immunity lasts. We don't know. And looking at other coronaviruses gives you quite a range of possibilities.
 
nsacpi said:
Well another "month of exposure" is something you want to be careful about. If we had delayed social distancing by a month, the outcome would have been catastrophic.

But it isn't really an option. A large part of social distancing is now spontaneous. Not government directed. And there is little government can do to change it. People aren't going to eat out. Go to baseball games. Go to movies. Travel on a plane. Not gonna happen until they feel more safe.
Click to expand...

This is a false equivalency.

A month makes a big deal when you aren't protecting the subset of the poopulation that is actually at risk.

I agree with you on human behavior which is why I mentioned many weeks ago that people were social distancing on their own before governments went into action. The reason why they are scared is:

1) We are not being honest with the American people. We know who is at risk and we know who isn't
2) The media is a disaster and promoting fear is beneficial for their ultimate bosses (DNC)
 
thethe said:
If immunity doesn't last a long time then we are screwed regardless.
Click to expand...

until a vaccine comes along...that will change everything including how safe people feel...it could well be the economy remains in a depressed state until a vaccine is available
 
nsacpi said:
until a vaccine comes along...that will change everything including how safe people feel...it could well be the economy remains in a depressed state until a vaccine is available
Click to expand...

Indoors for 12 months?

Society will collapse.
 
Guys, it just hit me like a wave... are the Swedish... communists? Are haven't we learned that spreading the virus is what communists do? Oh my god... the.. IMPLICATIONS.
 
[Tw]1250523562185818112[/tw]

So much senseless fear mongering when it was obvious late march this was way overblown.
 
Metaphysicist said:
Guys, it just hit me like a wave... are the Swedish... communists? Are haven't we learned that spreading the virus is what communists do? Oh my god... the.. IMPLICATIONS.
Click to expand...

they are so smart for this

but big dumb dumbs on all the other stuff
 
93876247_10219528178026636_2723506305049296896_n.jpg
 
Metaphysicist said:
Yeah, if there is one way I'd describe goldfly, it is as an ultranationalist.
Click to expand...

The man wants the power of the government to enforce our house arrest so he can feel safe.

Youve prescribed cajun as an ultra conservative as he fully supports Bernie so not sure you're the authority on this
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top