Data scientists will be able to compare the rate of transmission of other viruses like the flu during this lockdown to get a pretty good idea how well we tamped down transmission rates of all disease. They can then apply those rates to the Rona and extrapolate how bad things would have been minus any lockdown.
It won’t matter. The usual drooling suspects will ignore scientists and cling onto whatever counter take some right wing twit posts on social media. Why? Because that’s what they want to believe, data and science be damned.
I personally have the opinion that we would have been much better off economically isolating the vulnerable populations, and probably wouldn’t have seen an appreciable increase in total deaths. However, that’s a guess made by a non expert with almost no data, and I’m open to having that opinion changed when more data is presented by experts. As long as a more well defined plan is in place next time based on what we learned the last few months, I can’t really blame leaders for how they responded to this.
That’s the difference between science and religion.