The Coronavirus, not the beer

As some have observed, we all die. Demographers have started to look at the impact of covid-19 in terms of effects on life expectancy.

https://news.berkeley.edu/2020/08/2...il&utm_term=0_99ee3800d7-bd4cc8d7c9-389170940

https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/08/19/2006392117

I found this bit interesting:

A further contribution of this paper is to show that the age pattern of deaths, when appropriately adjusted, is quite similar across a wide range of countries and stages of the epidemic. Indeed, the increase in mortality by age from COVID-19 strongly resembles the age pattern of all-cause mortality. Whereas all-cause mortality tends to follow Gompertz’s law, increasing exponentially at a constant rate of about 10%/y of age, COVID-19 mortality increases at about 11%/y of age. There is some variation across populations, but this too seems to echo background mortality. The age profile of COVID-19 mortality may change over time, as treatment becomes more (or less) available. However, the age gradient we see to date suggests that the risk factors for COVID-19 are similar to those for all causes of death.
 
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So it looks like just now maybe we're getting to the point where we're just heading to the upper bounds of projected death rate. Maybe we're finally on the other side? Or it's just the calm before the storm when the regular flu and cold causes even more spread of COVID. Hard to say.

By my count still at 180K excess deaths vs. expected deaths. But COVID is just a hoax anyway.
 
Chris Murphy
@ChrisMurphyCT
·
Apr 5
The U.S. had a program - PREDICT - that identified lethal viruses abroad to prevent their spread to the U.S..

It had found 1,200 viruses (and 160 coronaviruses) in 10 years.

It was actively working in China.

Two months before the Wuhan outbreak, Trump shut the program down.
 
Chris Murphy
@ChrisMurphyCT
·
Apr 5
The U.S. had a program - PREDICT - that identified lethal viruses abroad to prevent their spread to the U.S..

It had found 1,200 viruses (and 160 coronaviruses) in 10 years.

It was actively working in China.

Two months before the Wuhan outbreak, Trump shut the program down.

"America First" at its most chuckleheaded
 
Zev! The man! The legend! The superstar!

I was in Monsey a few weeks ago. I should have stopped by to say hi.
 
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