The Coronavirus, not the beer

He sees it. Like right now.

I’ve been wrong a lot in my life. No big deal we live, we learn. But on this, I’ve never seen the main players just dip instead of adapting.

Part of growing up I guess.
 
He sees it. Like right now.

I’ve been wrong a lot in my life. No big deal we live, we learn. But on this, I’ve never seen the main players just dip instead of adapting.

Part of growing up I guess.

What I never understood though was the doubling/tripling/quadrouplings/etc.... down on things that were so obviously wrong.

I've been yelling at him that cloth masks only prevent droplets for almost 18 months and that wearing masks for this virus was useless. But I was the idiot at the time and didin't know what I was walking about. Looks like the medical establishment finally caught up to me....
 
Here are just a few -

Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Sah P, et al. The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020;117(30):17513-17515.10.1073/pnas.2008373117. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32632012external icon.
Johansson MA, Quandelacy TM, Kada S, et al. Controlling COVID-19 requires preventing SARS-CoV-2 transmission from people without symptoms. submitted. 2020.
Lindsley WG, Blachere FM, Law BF, Beezhold DH, Noti JD. Efficacy of face masks, neck gaiters and face shields for reducing the expulsion of simulated cough-generated aerosols. medRxiv. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.05.20207241external icon.
Fischer EP, Fischer MC, Grass D, Henrion I, Warren WS, Westman E. Low-cost measurement of face mask efficacy for filtering expelled droplets during speech. Sci Adv. 2020;6(36).10.1126/sciadv.abd3083. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32917603external icon.
Verma S, Dhanak M, Frankenfield J. Visualizing the effectiveness of face masks in obstructing respiratory jets. Phys Fluids (1994). 2020;32(6):061708.10.1063/5.0016018. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32624649external icon.
Bahl P, Bhattacharjee S, de Silva C, Chughtai AA, Doolan C, MacIntyre CR. Face coverings and mask to minimise droplet dispersion and aerosolisation: a video case study. Thorax. 2020;75(11):1024-1025.10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-215748. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32709611external icon.
Davies A, Thompson KA, Giri K, Kafatos G, Walker J, Bennett A. Testing the efficacy of homemade masks: would they protect in an influenza pandemic? Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2013;7(4):413-418.10.1017/dmp.2013.43. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24229526external icon.
Leung NHL, Chu DKW, Shiu EYC, et al. Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks. Nature Medicine. 2020;26(5):676-680.https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0843-2external icon.
Bandiera L., Pavar G., Pisetta G., et al. Face coverings and respiratory tract droplet dispersion. medRxiv. 2020.10.1101/2020.08.11.20145086. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.11.20145086external icon.
Alsved M, Matamis A, Bohlin R, et al. Exhaled respiratory particles during singing and talking. Aerosol Sci Technol. 2020.10.1080/02786826.2020.1812502.
Asadi S, Wexler AS, Cappa CD, Barreda S, Bouvier NM, Ristenpart WD. Aerosol emission and superemission during human speech increase with voice loudness. Sci Rep. 2019;9(1):2348.10.1038/s41598-019-38808-z. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30787335external icon.
Morawska L., Johnson GR, Ristovski ZD, et al. Size distribution and sites of origin of droplets expelled from the human respiratory tract during expiratory activities. Aerosol Sci. 2009;40(3):256-269. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0021850208002036external icon.
Abkarian M, Mendez S, Xue N, Yang F, Stone HA. Speech can produce jet-like transport relevant to asymptomatic spreading of virus. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020;117(41):25237-25245.10.1073/pnas.2012156117. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32978297external icon.
Ueki H, Furusawa Y, Iwatsuki-Horimoto K, et al. Effectiveness of Face Masks in Preventing Airborne Transmission of SARS-CoV-2. mSphere. 2020;5(5).10.1128/mSphere.00637-20. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33087517external icon.
Rodriguez-Palacios A, Cominelli F, Basson AR, Pizarro TT, Ilic S. Textile Masks and Surface Covers-A Spray Simulation Method and a “Universal Droplet Reduction Model” Against Respiratory Pandemics. Front Med (Lausanne). 2020;7:260.10.3389/fmed.2020.00260. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32574342external icon.
Viola I.M., Peterson B., Pisetta G., et al. Face coverings, aerosol dispersion and mitigation of virus transmission risk. 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.10720external icon.
Rengasamy S, Eimer B, Shaffer RE. Simple respiratory protection–evaluation of the filtration performance of cloth masks and common fabric materials against 20-1000 nm size particles. Ann Occup Hyg. 2010;54(7):789-798.10.1093/annhyg/meq044. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20584862external icon.
Konda A, Prakash A, Moss GA, Schmoldt M, Grant GD, Guha S. Aerosol Filtration Efficiency of Common Fabrics Used in Respiratory Cloth Masks. ACS Nano. 2020;14(5):6339-6347.10.1021/acsnano.0c03252. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32329337external icon.
Long KD, Woodburn EV, Berg IC, Chen V, Scott WS. Measurement of filtration efficiencies of healthcare and consumer materials using modified respirator fit tester setup. PLoS One. 2020;15(10):e0240499.10.1371/journal.pone.0240499. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33048980external icon.
O’Kelly E, Pirog S, Ward J, Clarkson PJ. Ability of fabric face mask materials to filter ultrafine particles at coughing velocity. BMJ Open. 2020;10(9):e039424.10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039424. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32963071external icon.
Aydin O, Emon B, Cheng S, Hong L, Chamorro LP, Saif MTA. Performance of fabrics for home-made masks against the spread of COVID-19 through droplets: A quantitative mechanistic study. Extreme Mech Lett. 2020;40:100924.10.1016/j.eml.2020.100924. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32835043external icon.
Bhattacharjee S, Bahl P, Chughtai AA, MacIntyre CR. Last-resort strategies during mask shortages: optimal design features of cloth masks and decontamination of disposable masks during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMJ Open Respir Res. 2020;7(1).10.1136/bmjresp-2020-000698. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32913005external icon.
Maurer L, Peris D, Kerl J, Guenther F, Koehler D, Dellweg D. Community Masks During the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic: Filtration Efficacy and Air Resistance. J Aerosol Med Pulm Drug Deliv. 2020.10.1089/jamp.2020.1635. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32975460external icon.
Hill WC, Hull MS, MacCuspie RI. Testing of Commercial Masks and Respirators and Cotton Mask Insert Materials using SARS-CoV-2 Virion-Sized Particulates: Comparison of Ideal Aerosol Filtration Efficiency versus Fitted Filtration Efficiency. Nano Lett. 2020;20(10):7642-7647.10.1021/acs.nanolett.0c03182. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32986441external icon.
Whiley H, Keerthirathne TP, Nisar MA, White MAF, Ross KE. Viral Filtration Efficiency of Fabric Masks Compared with Surgical and N95 Masks. Pathogens. 2020;9(9).10.3390/pathogens9090762. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32957638external icon.
Hao W, Parasch A, Williams S, et al. Filtration performances of non-medical materials as candidates for manufacturing facemasks and respirators. Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2020;229:113582.10.1016/j.ijheh.2020.113582. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32917368external icon.
van der Sande M, Teunis P, Sabel R. Professional and home-made face masks reduce exposure to respiratory infections among the general population. PLoS One. 2008;3(7):e2618.10.1371/journal.pone.0002618. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18612429external icon.
Chu DK, Akl EA, Duda S, et al. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet. 2020.10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9external icon.
Clase CM, Fu EL, Ashur A, et al. Forgotten Technology in the COVID-19 Pandemic: Filtration Properties of Cloth and Cloth Masks-A Narrative Review. Mayo Clin Proc. 2020;95(10):2204-2224.10.1016/j.mayocp.2020.07.020. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33012350external icon.
Zhao M, Liao L, Xiao W, et al. Household Materials Selection for Homemade Cloth Face Coverings and Their Filtration Efficiency Enhancement with Triboelectric Charging. Nano Lett. 2020;20(7):5544-5552.10.1021/acs.nanolett.0c02211. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32484683external icon.
Parlin AF, Stratton SM, Culley TM, Guerra PA. A laboratory-based study examining the properties of silk fabric to evaluate its potential as a protective barrier for personal protective equipment and as a functional material for face coverings during the COVID-19 pandemic. PLoS One. 2020;15(9):e0239531.10.1371/journal.pone.0239531. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32946526external icon.
Hendrix MJ, Walde C, Findley K, Trotman R. Absence of Apparent Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from Two Stylists After Exposure at a Hair Salon with a Universal Face Covering Policy – Springfield, Missouri, May 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(28):930-932.10.15585/mmwr.mm6928e2. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32673300external icon.
Wang Y, Tian H, Zhang L, et al. Reduction of secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in households by face mask use, disinfection and social distancing: a cohort study in Beijing, China. BMJ Glob Health. 2020;5(5).10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002794. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32467353external icon.
Doung-Ngern P, Suphanchaimat R, Panjangampatthana A, et al. Case-Control Study of Use of Personal Protective Measures and Risk for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection, Thailand. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020;26(11).10.3201/eid2611.203003. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32931726external icon.
Payne DC, Smith-Jeffcoat SE, Nowak G, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Serologic Responses from a Sample of U.S. Navy Service Members – USS Theodore Roosevelt, April 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(23):714-721.10.15585/mmwr.mm6923e4. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32525850external icon.
Schwartz KL, Murti M, Finkelstein M, et al. Lack of COVID-19 transmission on an international flight. Cmaj. 2020;192(15):E410.10.1503/cmaj.75015. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32392504external icon.
Freedman DO, Wilder-Smith A. In-flight Transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a review of the attack rates and available data on the efficacy of face masks. J Travel Med. 2020.10.1093/jtm/taaa178. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32975554external icon.
Wang X, Ferro EG, Zhou G, Hashimoto D, Bhatt DL. Association Between Universal Masking in a Health Care System and SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Among Health Care Workers. JAMA. 2020.10.1001/jama.2020.12897. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32663246external icon.
Mitze T., Kosfeld R., Rode J., Wälde K. Face Masks Considerably Reduce COVID-19 Cases in Germany: A Synthetic Control Method Approach. IZA – Institute of Labor Economics (Germany);2020.ISSN: 2365-9793, DP No. 13319. http://ftp.iza.org/dp13319.pdfpdf iconexternal icon
Gallaway MS, Rigler J, Robinson S, et al. Trends in COVID-19 Incidence After Implementation of Mitigation Measures – Arizona, January 22-August 7, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(40):1460-1463.10.15585/mmwr.mm6940e3. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33031366external icon.
Lyu W, Wehby GL. Community Use Of Face Masks And COVID-19: Evidence From A Natural Experiment Of State Mandates In The US. Health Aff (Millwood). 2020;39(8):1419-1425.10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00818. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32543923external icon.
Hatzius J, Struyven D, Rosenberg I. Face Masks and GDP. Goldman Sachs Research https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/face-masks-and-gdp.htmlexternal icon. Accessed July 8, 2020.
Karaivanov A., Lu S.E., Shigeoka H., Chen C., Pamplona S. Face Masks, Public Policies And Slowing The Spread Of Covid-19: Evidence from Canada National Bureau Of Economic Research 2020.Working Paper 27891. http://www.nber.org/papers/w27891external icon.
Chernozhukov V, Kasahara H, Schrimpf P. Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S. medRxiv. 2020.10.1101/2020.05.27.20115139. http://medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/05/29/2020.05.27.20115139.abstractexternal icon.
Leffler CT, Ing EB, Lykins JD, Hogan MC, McKeown CA, Grzybowski A. Association of country-wide coronavirus mortality with demographics, testing, lockdowns, and public wearing of masks (updated August 4, 2020). medRxiv. 2020.10.1101/2020.05.22.20109231. http://medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/05/25/2020.05.22.20109231.abstractexternal icon.

Ah Dalyn.

Never learned how to analyze this whole time....
 
The lecturer actually said that obesity wasn't one of the main drivers of poor outcomes.

I mean....he actually uttered those words.
 
In reality though, the lecturer left at a good time because the biggest of all of his lies and misrepresentations will be shown to the world.

I would actually pay money to see his face once all the evidence on election fraud is made public to where nobody can deny what happened on 11/3/20
 
If the evidence ever supports that China has figured out how to mask this sort of activity (and we live long enough to figure it out), I will accept those new facts. Until then, I don't run off and throw my whole life behind claims made entirely for political purposes without any actual evidence to support them. Could they somehow end up being correct? Sure. Pretty much anything that is possible is...well, possible. Is it likely? Not at all. Does any of the current evidence we possess support it? Absolutely not. But if they do end up true, you ask? Fine. I will accept those facts and continue to grow my own understanding of the world. I have absolutely no problem being wrong, because that means something new has been discovered or has been understood differently. That's excellent, and one of the many things I love about the scientific world. For now, I will stand behind that a whole multitude of people (some of whom I know personally) aren't involved in a mass coverup that spans political opinions, country boundaries, and every single value any of them have ever professed.

Whoops - Looks like the 'people you knew' was either a complete lie or they are as dumb as you....
 
lol You really are a troll. We all are still waiting on all this evidence you keep talking about. All we ever get is accusations and this boogeyman approach to the CCP. None of you who believe this crap ever present any evidence. It's always just layers and layers of bull****. Meanwhile, people who are actually researching this **** keep presenting evidence, and you are just too stupid and/or brainwashed to understand it. I would much rather be naive, I have to say.

Ooof - Remember this oldie?
 
Some of these takes are so good... just click into random page for gold!

You see sturg, unlike you I follow the science. We had backyard gatherings last year. We know what friends are honest and what friends aren't.

I'm excited to be vaccinated and helping the world get past this pandemic, not being a willing host to cause the virus to mutate so it can beat herd immunity.


It did happen organically. In the Mink community.

China has the worlds largest fur producing capabilities. By lying and say it spread from Bats to humans, they protected said industry. They also hurt lead competitors. All while vilifying bats, who do an incredibly important job killing pests.



I mean FLorida has been underreporting COVID deaths. But whatever, I hope you're celebrating when failed policies lead to more infectious COVID variants



This will fall on deaf ears, but listen to anything Dr. Fauci has said over the course of the year. Literally, anything.
 
I'll make one observation about public policy that covers a lot more things than obesity. Which is that reducing poverty fixes a lot of problems, obesity being one of them. Sure we can do things that specifically address eating and exercise habits, or that get people better access to healthcare. I'm all for doing that. But policies that reduce poverty are where you literally get the biggest bang for the buck. Reduce poverty and you reduce a lot of social pathologies.

Of course, fixing poverty will not eliminate obesity. We have a lot of rich obese people in this country.

The academic thinks policies can solve obesity... not personal accountability and discipline
 
I still wait for the name of a single public official who warned against congregating a few weeks ago and encourages it now.

I think it is gonna be a long wait.

this buffoon was adamant that public leaders weren't encouraging bLM protestors. He had a meltdown of a dozen posts saying "tick tock" waiting for names... then when I gave him the names he moved on to his next embarrassment
 
Funny thing is after all the lies he has said on this board the one he deleted was the Germans are coming!
 
Funny thing is after all the lies he has said on this board the one he deleted was the Germans are coming!

that one was a classic.

dude literally posted in German.

what a ****ing idiot.

almost as good as the grim reaper #1932 posts. I gotta hand it to him once he gets on a shtick he goes all in
 
Reviewing some of the recent stuff here. It's pretty mindboggling. From what I can tell, some of the common Omicron arguments are:

1. More immune resistant variants like Omicron are caused by vaccinating people who don't need it and this ruins natural immunity.
2. New mutations are a good thing as there is pressure on the virus to make people less sick as less sick people spread viruses more than very sick people.
3. Omicron is a good thing because it causes a significantly lower rate of serious cases (I've seen one notable person refer to it as the common cold).

This logic is pretty hilarious.

It's pretty clear now that the Omicron has become so dominant because it can dodge the immunity from vaccines and past infections and cause breakthrough infections in large numbers. So while it does not appear high rates of vaccination caused Omicron (it arose in a low vaccine area), it became globally dominant because it can evade immunity delta can't.

But with new variants, mutations that allow things like evasion of immunity also tend to lead to a loss in "fitness." You see this in action with Omicron, it's heavily mutated but also significantly less dangerous on a case by case basis. These two things are not unconnected. The differences that make it less easy for the immune system to recognize make it less able to cause devastation in a human body.

I think we're seeing how the pandemic will end. The combination of our immune systems not being blank slates to this disease along with less and less fit variants will result in Covid becoming an endemic disease somewhere between common cold and seasonal flu.

So it's great to see how the vaccines have helped accelerate this process and cause a less dangerous variant to emerge (while still protecting against serious effects of the variant).
 
This thread is a good example of why I avoided arguing about the virus because its not something I know anything about and also why I never supported violence against people for not wearing masks etc. I do not buy that cloth masks dont help at all, only that its not a significant enough percent to justify it. I think it was pretty clear from the start that we should have use n95 type masks if possible. I dont know why that wasnt and isnt the priority.
 
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Reviewing some of the recent stuff here. It's pretty mindboggling. From what I can tell, some of the common Omicron arguments are:

1. More immune resistant variants like Omicron are caused by vaccinating people who don't need it and this ruins natural immunity.
2. New mutations are a good thing as there is pressure on the virus to make people less sick as less sick people spread viruses more than very sick people.
3. Omicron is a good thing because it causes a significantly lower rate of serious cases (I've seen one notable person refer to it as the common cold).

This logic is pretty hilarious.

It's pretty clear now that the Omicron has become so dominant because it can dodge the immunity from vaccines and past infections and cause breakthrough infections in large numbers. So while it does not appear high rates of vaccination caused Omicron (it arose in a low vaccine area), it became globally dominant because it can evade immunity delta can't.

But with new variants, mutations that allow things like evasion of immunity also tend to lead to a loss in "fitness." You see this in action with Omicron, it's heavily mutated but also significantly less dangerous on a case by case basis. These two things are not unconnected. The differences that make it less easy for the immune system to recognize make it less able to cause devastation in a human body.

I think we're seeing how the pandemic will end. The combination of our immune systems not being blank slates to this disease along with less and less fit variants will result in Covid becoming an endemic disease somewhere between common cold and seasonal flu.

So it's great to see how the vaccines have helped accelerate this process and cause a less dangerous variant to emerge (while still protecting against serious effects of the variant).

This was always the end game with covid-19. There will be yearly booster shots that those who are vulnerable should take and everyone else will be fine.
 
In reality though, the lecturer left at a good time because the biggest of all of his lies and misrepresentations will be shown to the world.

I would actually pay money to see his face once all the evidence on election fraud is made public to where nobody can deny what happened on 11/3/20


Lol
 
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