The Reverse Pennant Chase

The Braves are now 47-46 since June 14th, good for 5th place in the NL. Better than the Cardinals, Pirates, Giants, and Royals. The only team with a better record that has also been eliminated from the playoffs is the Yankees.
 
?@DOBrienAJC

#Braves 17-9 w/ .309 batting average, 4.34 ERA, 151 runs and 25 homers in their past 26 games (5.8 runs per game)

This is how you drop in draft order right here. 17-9... I could have made mint if I would have bet people that the 2016 Braves would have a 26 game stretch where they won 17 of those games.

That projects to 106 wins over 162 games. So then it is safe to say we will win the title next year right..:rock:
 
bravesfanMatt said:
?@DOBrienAJC
#Braves 17-9 w/ .309 batting average, 4.34 ERA, 151 runs and 25 homers in their past 26 games (5.8 runs per game)

This is how you drop in draft order right here. 17-9... I could have made mint if I would have bet people that the 2016 Braves would have a 26 game stretch where they won 17 of those games.

That projects to 106 wins over 162 games. So then it is safe to say we will win the title next year right..:rock:
Click to expand...

Certainly safe to say next year shapes up to be an interesting year to watch as a Braves fan.
 
Wow. That just goes to show you how terrible we were the first half if we are only a half game out of having the #2 pick in the draft
 
bravesfanMatt said:
?@DOBrienAJC

#Braves 17-9 w/ .309 batting average, 4.34 ERA, 151 runs and 25 homers in their past 26 games (5.8 runs per game)

This is how you drop in draft order right here. 17-9... I could have made mint if I would have bet people that the 2016 Braves would have a 26 game stretch where they won 17 of those games.

That projects to 106 wins over 162 games. So then it is safe to say we will win the title next year right..:rock:
Click to expand...

It certainly bodes well for next year.

The only major regression candidates the Braves have are Freeman (an 1.100+ OPS over the 2nd half is more than we can reasonably expect from any player), and Inciarte (unsustainable .400 BABIP in 2nd half, equally unsustainable .367 BABIP vs LHers over the full season).

Major areas where the team can expect improvement are SS (Swanson should get better), 2B (Albies will be up at some point), 3B (easiest position on the roster to improve), and SP (confirmed they will make additions here, and Julio should still be at his peak).

Major areas where we should expect equal production are C (addition should offset the unexpected production of both Recker and Flowers), RF (Markakis is what he is), and BP (typical BP we always see cobbled together).

All that adds up to a 75-80 win team in my opinion, depending on how well they upgrade 3B and the rotation. The skeleton of a competitive team is starting to take form.
 
I am still under the ruse that the BP will provide more next year. if healthy, we will have a lethal pen. One that can shut your ass down after the 6th inning. That in its self will trickle down to the Starters making them that much better. I still think if the pen is healthy and performs to just expected value then we will be an 85+ win team. Homerism does clout my judgment at times, but I always lean towards a team (any team) that has a very strong bull pen
 
Enscheff said:
It certainly bodes well for next year.

The only major regression candidates the Braves have are Freeman (an 1.100+ OPS over the 2nd half is more than we can reasonably expect from any player), and Inciarte (unsustainable .400 BABIP in 2nd half, equally unsustainable .367 BABIP vs LHers over the full season).

Major areas where the team can expect improvement are SS (Swanson should get better), 2B (Albies will be up at some point), 3B (easiest position on the roster to improve), and SP (confirmed they will make additions here, and Julio should still be at his peak).

Major areas where we should expect equal production are C (addition should offset the unexpected production of both Recker and Flowers), RF (Markakis is what he is), and BP (typical BP we always see cobbled together).

All that adds up to a 75-80 win team in my opinion, depending on how well they upgrade 3B and the rotation. The skeleton of a competitive team is starting to take form.
Click to expand...

That may be the most likely scenario, but if position players pan out roughly as you outlined and a couple of starters progress, it could actually be significantly better. 85 wins is not hard to fathom at all, though it might not be the most likely result.
 
D'Backs just lost to the Nats, so now if we beat the Phils tonight, we will drop another slot to #4. On the other hand, if we lose and the Rays win we would get back to the #2 pick. Very important games here at the end of the season towards our draft position. Two draft positions is also worth a little north of $2 million in slot money.
 
skillet said:
D'Backs just lost to the Nats, so now if we beat the Phils tonight, we will drop another slot to #4. On the other hand, if we lose and the Rays win we would get back to the #2 pick. Very important games here at the end of the season towards our draft position. Two draft positions is also worth a little north of $2 million in slot money.
Click to expand...

Zimmermann, TBA, Verlander slated for the Tigers this weekend.
 
Yep, I okay with the winning until that comeback from 6-0 down, that was ridiculously horrible. Come on dudes, go ahead and lay down a few, get back up to #2, or #3 at the worst.
 
Looks like we'll win tonight and fall to 4th. Cincy is coming back and the Rays are winning too so maybe we will only be a .5 back with 3 to play against Detroit. And with their game getting cancelled today they are gonna be going full force against us this weekend and that's just what we need.
 
With the win tonight, our 10th out of the last 11, we have now dropped to the #4 slot. Keep winning boys, who wants the 2nd pick when you can win a few bull**** games, lose around $4MM in slot money and get the 7th pick instead.
 
Hudson2 said:
Looks like we'll win tonight and fall to 4th. Cincy is coming back and the Rays are winning too so maybe we will only be a .5 back with 3 to play against Detroit. And with their game getting cancelled today they are gonna be going full force against us this weekend and that's just what we need.
Click to expand...

Cincy lost
 
I jinxed em lol. So we are .5 back of Arizona and TB right now. That's not to bad especially having Detroit coming in. If SD and Oakland both win tonight then they are both still 1.5 back with 3 to play so they are pretty much out. To much would have to go right for those 2 to pass us. I'm still holding out hope for the #2 pick.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top