The Reverse Pennant Chase

If we finish the year at our current win pace (74), how do we realistically add 15 wins to the team to be able to contend? I think 2020 is the most realistic target for being dangerous

Dansby, Ozzie, Acuna and improved pitching in the coming years.

And finding a long-term 3B, not that hard to see.
 
Dansby: 2-3 WAR

Albies: 3 WAR

Acuna: 3-4 WAR

That gets you 8-10 right there. Add an improved pitching staff (it wouldn't have to be all that great to be improved from its current state) and get a serviceable 3B, and you're basically there.

Acuna gets better every minute at baseball. It's harder to predict his WAR more than any of our prospects. Two months from now he'll be the best fielding shortstop in the minors, lol.
 
Dansby: 2-3 WAR

Albies: 3 WAR

Acuna: 3-4 WAR

That gets you 8-10 right there. Add an improved pitching staff (it wouldn't have to be all that great to be improved from its current state) and get a serviceable 3B, and you're basically there.

Phillips will end the season at 2 fWAR. So if those numbers are correct you would see a 6.5-8.5 increase. But that's a lot to ask.
 
Phillips will end the season at 2 fWAR. So if those numbers are correct you would see a 6.5-8.5 increase. But that's a lot to ask.

I agree. It's asking a lot for these guys. I do think our D has been so bad that if you just go by pure WAR we should see some major improvements if we use young guys at the corner OF spot, 3B, SS and 2B.

I'd also expect our catcher WAR to go down. Maybe even 1B b/c FF and Adams mashed so.

Peterson-1 WAR

Acuna-2 WAR

SS (either comargo or Dansby will do better)-1 WAR.

Bench has got to be better-1 WAR

If we really try next year I think we have to do a trade or get a FA that will give us 3+ WAR at 3B.
 
Unfortunately, our corner OFs are under contract for more years... so unless the FO is willing to release them, I think we're stuck
 
Phillips will end the season at 2 fWAR. So if those numbers are correct you would see a 6.5-8.5 increase. But that's a lot to ask.

It is, was just showing how it's possible. I think by 2019, those are all very doable numbers for those guys. We're talking about 3 guys who are all top 10 prospects essentially. Again, will they all get to that level? Maybe not, but can they cover that as a group? I think so.
 
Prior to games on 8/3/17...

1.) Phillies...39-66
2.) Giants...41-68
3.) White Sox...41-64
4.) Reds...44-63
5.) Athletics...48-60
6.) Padres...48-59
7.) Tigers...49-57
7.) Braves...49-57
9.) Mutts...49-56
10.) Blue Jays...51-57
11.) Rangers...51-56
12.) Marlins...51-55
13.) Twins...51-54
14.) Pirates...51-56
15.) Angels...53-55
16.) Orioles...53-54
16.) Cardinals...53-54

That's everyone below .500.
 
It is, was just showing how it's possible. I think by 2019, those are all very doable numbers for those guys. We're talking about 3 guys who are all top 10 prospects essentially. Again, will they all get to that level? Maybe not, but can they cover that as a group? I think so.

I agree that in a a year or two that's possible and likely to be honest. I've always thought 2019 was the first true year we are contenders when you take into consideration the our first wave of great prospects will have some time at the MLB level by then. I just don't expect rookies to come out playing like all-stars.
 
Really excited for the 2018 draft so I can live with tanking if it happens. Next year is going to be all kinds of fun no matter how we end this second half.
 
Up to 7th, 1 back in L column of SD for 6th, two back of Oakland in L column for 5th.
 
1. Phillies- 42-69
2. White Sox- 43-68
3. Giants- 46-70
4. Reds- 47-67
5. Athletics- 50-64
6. Padres- 50-63
7. Mets- 50-61
8. Braves- 51-61

We can absolutely do it. Make up for last year.
 
I could see us getting back into the top 5. And next years draft will be more loaded than this years. I'm fine with one more really high draft.
 
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