The Stanton Contract-Implications

nsacpi

nsacpi

Expects Yuge Games
Reportedly 13 years at $325 mil. Opt out after either the 2019 or 2020 season. He has 2 more years before free agency. I think the opt out option is very likely to be exercised so we need to see what the annual numbers are after the 2016 season (his last pre-free agency year) up to the opt out year. The salaries in those years will set the boundaries for players like Heyward and Justin Upton. I would value Heyward about 7M/year less than Stanton and Justin about 10M/year less.
 
nsacpi said:
Reportedly 13 years at $325 mil. Opt out after either the 2019 or 2020 season. He has 2 more years before free agency. I think the opt out option is very likely to be exercised so we need to see what the annual numbers are after the 2016 season (his last pre-free agency year) up to the opt out year. The salaries in those years will set the boundaries for players like Heyward and Justin Upton. I would value Heyward about 7M/year less than Stanton and Justin about 10M/year less.
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#Cardinalsproblem

#Marinersworries
 
Fwiw, I read where the deal gained traction when Stanton was hit in the face, and started to value that financial security over top dollar and a new location. I have no idea if anyone would have given him more money or years though.
 
"Stanton will earn just $6.5MM in 2015, $9MM in 2016 and $14.5MM in 2017 before earning $77MM total over the following three seasons. In other words, should he opt out of his deal, he’ll have received $107MM over six years (an AAV of $17.83MM) and be walking away from seven years and $218MM (an AAV of $31.14MM)."

Seems like a guy that wants to win, and he is giving the Marlins immediate payroll flexibility and 6 years to prove they can build a winner. If they can't/don't, he will opt out.
 
The first three non-arb years average a little over 20M per year. Very interesting. After that is the opt out option. The way it is structured, he might not opt out. Depends on how well he is playing, and also his desire regarding being on a bigger payroll and presumably more competitive team during his declining but still very high-priced years.
 
nsacpi said:
The first three non-arb years average a little over 20M per year. Very interesting. After that is the opt out option. The way it is structured, he might not opt out.
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He'd be crazy to. That explains how he was able to get the opt out and the no trade clause and the 13 years... There had to be some benefit to the team.
 
Implications? The economics of baseball are no longer very economical.

Seriously, this puts a shiver through everything. Stanton is a phenomenal offensive talent, but if future deals peg off this one, it will drive up the cost to compete for everyone.
 
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