Coppy recently hinted that we are looking for a catcher, and would consider a mid-season deal. No surprises there. I would be willing to do a mild overpay to fill a position of need. There are two catchers I can think of who could be moved mid-season: Derek Norris and Brian McCann.
Here is my take on their valuation:
Norris projects to be a 2.5 win per year player over his two remaining arb years. A total of 5 wins. He projects to be paid at a rate that is worth about 1.5 wins in the market over those two years. His projected surplus value is 3.5 wins. I'm willing to overpay a little, which means I'd be willing to send the Padres a package worth about 4.5 wins.
McCann has three years left on his deal (including the option for 2019, which is likely to vest). I would project him at 2.5 wins in 2017 and 1.5 wins in 2018 and 2019. His salary will almost exactly match his expected production. So expected surplus value of about zero. A slight overpay means sending a player worth about 1 win.
In terms of what we have to ship out, I think we will have four lefty relievers (Alvarez, Krol, Cervenka, Rodriguez) competing for 2 or 3 jobs next spring. We can trade one. I would also consider shipping one of Ellis, Whalen, Harrell, Baby Harang, Jenkins and Blair. Would still leave us with a projected rotation of Teheran, Wisler, Folty, Gant, and one other.