Voting Taking Place

57Brave

57Brave

Well-known member
Jon Ralston

‏@RalstonReports

Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP.
 
If the Republicans want to survive long-term, a landslide rejection of Trump would be in their best long-term interests. Either way, I think they'll totally splinter off over the next couple of cycles.
 
All it does is give both sides a last chance to spin spin spin. But if Latinos are turning out in full force, I suspect Trump's only chance is an avalanche of working class whites to sweep through the Midwest. He would need Michigan to offset Arizona and Nevada.
 
I think it's alright to report that early voting is heavy or light and leave it at that. I actually think a lot of voters are voting early because of all the noise about possible aggressive poll-watching, which could lead to poll-watchers from both sides, which could lead to physical confrontations.

My bottom line is the press loves a political horse race and now we have an extra angle through which that horse race that can be reported. They could do this analysis after election day in their post mortems.
 
Absolutely agree. To me this sort of thing shows the true media whoredom best. They may tend towards the left or right (depending on which group we're talking about) but ratings and attention have always been their favorite candidate.
 
This is a question.
Aren't the projections we are seeing based on past performance and voter registration ?

plus
A lot of demographics that assume (backed up again by registration data) people of color and women voting Blue.

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Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 18m
18 minutes ago

Bottom line: in diverse states like NV, when more people vote, Democrats win. And tons of ppl are voting - including new Latinos in droves.
 
57Brave said:
Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 18m

18 minutes ago



Bottom line: in diverse states like NV, when more people vote, Democrats win. And tons of ppl are voting - including new Latinos in droves.
Click to expand...

Isn't this true pretty much all across the board? Lots of votes mean Dem wins, or at least it puts them in a much better position to win. The lower the voter turnout the better the chances for Repubs.
 
Oklahomahawk said:
Isn't this true pretty much all across the board? Lots of votes mean Dem wins, or at least it puts them in a much better position to win. The lower the voter turnout the better the chances for Repubs.
Click to expand...

I don't know if that will hold true this year. I suspect there will be a lot of traditional non-voters who have been turned off by politics over the last couple of decades who are energized by Trump. We saw that in Minnesota with Ventura. In response to that, I think the Democrats have re-doubled their registration and GOTV efforts in minority and traditionally Democratic voting blocs.

I still think this thing could go either way depending upon which side does better in those efforts. I still think it's Clinton's to lose, but a lot of swing states have tightened up and a hiccup for her in any one of them could give Trump a fighting chance. The disadvantage for Trump is that his ground game doesn't appear to be that great and organizing parts of his base is like trying to cage smoke.
 
Nick Gourevitch ‏@nickgourevitch 37m
37 minutes ago

Recent news on impact of Trump's rhetoric:
1) Hispanics surging in FL/NV
2) Women voting at higher rates vs '12
3) HRC up w/ Jews 73%-18%

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Fox reporting rampant voter fraud but don't cite any instance
just sayin'
 
ichael Cohen
‏@speechboy71
To give you sense of why Nevada early vote matters .. if Clinton wins NV she can lose OH, FL, NC, AZ, IA & NH & still be elected POTUS

 
50PoundHead said:
I think it's alright to report that early voting is heavy or light and leave it at that. I actually think a lot of voters are voting early because of all the noise about possible aggressive poll-watching, which could lead to poll-watchers from both sides, which could lead to physical confrontations.

My bottom line is the press loves a political horse race and now we have an extra angle through which that horse race that can be reported. They could do this analysis after election day in their post mortems.
Click to expand...

Also, me personally, I don't really like to feel rushed when voting and it always tends to feel that way on the actual day. I also work in the media, so I'll pretty much be full-go 7 a.m. to midnight or later on Tuesday.
 
57Brave said:
ichael Cohen
‏@speechboy71
To give you sense of why Nevada early vote matters .. if Clinton wins NV she can lose OH, FL, NC, AZ, IA & NH & still be elected POTUS
Click to expand...

Every one of those states you listed is pretty much a must win for Trump based on current polling. That's his most likely path to victory.
 
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