Where are the 2019 Braves on the Expected Win Curve

[Horsehide Harry]

FG has the following projections (guessing for Markakis/Duvall in LF), keep in mind the totals for each position include bench contributions at those positions:

C (Flowers/Mac) - 3.5 wins (add ~1 win for framing)
1B (Freeman/Duvall) - 4.4
2B (Albies/Camargo) - 3.6
SS (Swanson/Camargo) - 2.1
3B (JD/Camargo) - 4.5
LF (Markakis/Duvall) - 1.4
CF (Inciarte/Acuna) - 2.7
RF (Acuna/Duvall) - 3.0
DH (Camargo/Riley/Flowers) - 0.5

SP1 (Folty) - 2.7
SP2 (Newk) - 1.7
SP3 (Gausman) - 2.1
SP4 (Teheran) - 0.6
SP5 (Touki/Soroka/Fried/Others) - 2.1

BP (Viz/Minter/O'Day/Others) - 2.4

Total - 37.3 + 48 = 85.3 wins.

While I'll easily take the over on Acuna's projection, I don't disagree with much of that.

I see the Braves as an ~86 win team as currently constructed, with upside for more if the young pitchers like Soroka, Touki and Wright make improvements and push guys like Teheran and Newk out of the rotation.

In other words not good enough to really win anything, not bad enough to blow it up and start over. Pittsburgh

 

[Enscheff]

Projecting for 85-90 wins is about the best a team with a $120m payroll can expect consistently.

That puts a team squarely in contention every single year and maximizes attendance/revenue.

Wanting more than that is unrealistic.