2024 Field

Man... I sure don't get the love for Newsom... he's been a terrible governor... bad mayor...

Man... who am I thinking of? I thought Newsom was gay but I see he's not. Kinda hilarious that he was married to Kimberly Guilfoyle at one time who's now engaged to Trump Jr
 
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sturg33 said:
Thethe spent weeks mocking me for predicting this. Luckily he has had a well timed break
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This will shift several times more than likely. Kennedy will take 1 or 2 points off Biden and Trump can still win even while losing the popular vote by 2-3 points. Even with the polls going to Biden lately Trump still controls the battleground states. Hard to say what will happen several months from now.
 
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Garmel said:
This will shift several times more than likely. Kennedy will take 1 or 2 points off Biden and Trump can still win even while losing the popular vote by 2-3 points. Even with the polls going to Biden lately Trump still controls the battleground states. Hard to say what will happen several months from now.
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He will claim the polls can no longer be believed after spending a year posting polls
 
sturg33 said:
Quite a shift. Almost magical

[Tw]1780382739071369490[/tw]
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Trump leading by average of +5 in AZ over the last month. GA and MI haven't updated yet on RCP, but in March he was leading by an average of +5 in GA, +4 in NV, and +4 in MI.

Electoral college still solidly shows in Trump's favor at the moment. We'll see how the latest numbers come out.
 
Carp said:
Trump leading by average of +5 in AZ over the last month. GA and MI haven't updated yet on RCP, but in March he was leading by an average of +5 in GA, +4 in NV, and +4 in MI.

Electoral college still solidly shows in Trump's favor at the moment. We'll see how the latest numbers come out.
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One would think the betting markets are taking that into account
 
sturg33 said:
One would think the betting markets are taking that into account
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There are betting markets showing the exact opposite of what you've shown.

Until the battleground state polls change Trump is still in good shape. The national polls don't mean much.
 
Carp said:
Trump leading by average of +5 in AZ over the last month. GA and MI haven't updated yet on RCP, but in March he was leading by an average of +5 in GA, +4 in NV, and +4 in MI.

Electoral college still solidly shows in Trump's favor at the moment. We'll see how the latest numbers come out.
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All Trump needs is to have AZ and GA back in the fold and just one of WI, MI, or PA and he wins.
 
Garmel said:
All Trump needs is to have AZ and GA back in the fold and just one of WI, MI, or PA and he wins.
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MN is also much less of a Biden lean than it was last election. April poll has Biden with only 2 point lead, after a much heftier lead earlier in the year.
 
https://reason.com/2024/04/17/bidens-call-for-more-steel-tariffs-is-economically-ineffective-political-pandering/

Just four days ago, the Biden administration launched a new line of attack against former President Donald Trump and his campaign trail promise to hike tariffs if he is elected in November.

Those higher tariffs would be "inflation-feeding welfare for the rich" that would raise prices for consumers, according to an Axios summary of a White House memo. The shift in messaging, The New York Times reported, was an attempt at "recalibrating" Biden's economic message in the face of stubbornly high inflation and the persistent sense among voters that the economy is not doing well. In effect, this is an attempt to remind voters that Trump's economic plans include the deliberate goal of artificially inflating prices—because that's what tariffs do.

On Wednesday, President Joe Biden called for hiking tariffs.

During a visit to visit today the United Steelworkers union headquarters in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Biden said he would move to "triple the tariff rate on both steel imports and aluminum imports from China" if a new Commerce Department investigation finds that China is selling steel to America at what Biden called "unfair" low prices. Biden also reiterated his opposition to U.S. Steel's purchase by Japan-based Nippon Steel, saying that the American-based firm should remain "American-owned, American-operated."


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Can’t wait to see Biden and Trump supporters twist themselves into pretzels trying to explain why their guy’s tariffs are good and the other guy’s tariffs are bad. More likely, they’ll just ignore.

Economic literacy isn’t on the ballot if you’re committed to voting for (D) or (R) for POTUS in November.
 
acesfull86 said:
https://reason.com/2024/04/17/bidens-call-for-more-steel-tariffs-is-economically-ineffective-political-pandering/

Just four days ago, the Biden administration launched a new line of attack against former President Donald Trump and his campaign trail promise to hike tariffs if he is elected in November.

Those higher tariffs would be "inflation-feeding welfare for the rich" that would raise prices for consumers, according to an Axios summary of a White House memo. The shift in messaging, The New York Times reported, was an attempt at "recalibrating" Biden's economic message in the face of stubbornly high inflation and the persistent sense among voters that the economy is not doing well. In effect, this is an attempt to remind voters that Trump's economic plans include the deliberate goal of artificially inflating prices—because that's what tariffs do.

On Wednesday, President Joe Biden called for hiking tariffs.

During a visit to visit today the United Steelworkers union headquarters in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Biden said he would move to "triple the tariff rate on both steel imports and aluminum imports from China" if a new Commerce Department investigation finds that China is selling steel to America at what Biden called "unfair" low prices. Biden also reiterated his opposition to U.S. Steel's purchase by Japan-based Nippon Steel, saying that the American-based firm should remain "American-owned, American-operated."


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Can’t wait to see Biden and Trump supporters twist themselves into pretzels trying to explain why their guy’s tariffs are good and the other guy’s tariffs are bad. More likely, they’ll just ignore.

Economic literacy isn’t on the ballot if you’re committed to voting for (D) or (R) for POTUS in November.
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Saw that yesterday. Hilarious
 
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