Economics Thread

Could provide a runway for pro-market D’s to fill the leadership void in that mess of a party, rather than Bernie/AOC types. Should be interesting to follow. Although it’s D, so my expectations are low.

I fear that Obama gave us Trump, and Trump will give us AOC
 
Hmmm, why is trump letting one of the countries we have a MASSIVE trade deficit get away with devaluing their currency and operate as a loss.

We import 3 billion and export only 500M. So they are charging us an effective tariff of 83.3% and we should be tariffing them back at 41.7% but for some reason we aren't doing. I can't figure it out.
 
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Hard to tell if this is intended more as a lie to the American people or a threat to domestic suppliers not to do the thing they’re absolutely going to do.
 
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Gotta hand it to Trump supporters, the Panama Canal talk was indeed all bluster. We were just going to stop using it.
 
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Gotta hand it to Trump supporters, the Panama Canal talk was indeed all bluster. We were just going to stop using it.
 
This is a well-articulated explanation of the tariff situation, presented by a channel that aims to clarify what Bessemer and Miran hope to achieve.

The core theory suggests that yesterday’s announcement was intended to create temporary chaos as a negotiation tactic. The idea is that since other countries rely on access to the U.S. market and its military protection, they will agree to peg their currencies to the dollar. In this arrangement, if the dollar becomes too strong, they would agree to appreciate their own currencies in exchange for tariff reductions. However, the risk is that if other countries refuse to participate—due to distrust or their own economic interests—the U.S. could ultimately jeopardize the dollar’s status as the global reserve currency.

Ultimately, I think it’s wishful thinking to assume other countries would ever agree to surrender influence over the value of their own currency. It’s more likely you’d see a realignment of international trade similar to what we saw earlier this week with Japan, Korea and China.


 
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