2016 Presidential Primaries [ SUPER TUESDAY | 3-1-'16]

bravesnumberone said:
Expect Bush, Kasich and Christie to be pressured by the establishment to drop out if they don't finish top 2 in New Hampshire. All three of them have pinned their hopes there, but they seem to have been thwarted by Rubio's strong performance in Iowa.
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Christie I think is bounced after NH. I tihnk Kasich may finish second in NH or at least finish strong. He resonates well there. Bush still has the establishment backing. Those who back him have to leave him for Rubio and he'll be gone.
 
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I think a better way to solve the ties would have been a fight to the death match between a Sanders supporter and a Clinton supporter.
 
The Don said:
Bush isn't going to drop out until minimum South Carolina.

SC seemed to be the good luck charms for 41 and 43.
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He has enough money but totally different situations. Bush 41 was a sitting vice president for a popular president and Bush 43 was running against John McCain, who, at least at that time, was considered a moderate to liberal Republican. At least here by Hilton Head, support for Jeb is nonexistent.

It's all Cruz, Trump, Carson and Rubio and a little bit of Kasich because there's a significant number of people from Ohio down here.
 
57Brave said:
Same way Carolina Panthers were winners over the Seahawks.

Plus, I think Sanders needed a win - not a tie.

He is expected to win NH handily after that ... different game

we'll see

To my mind this was Rubio's apex. As good as he gets

Media scrutiny gets amped up starting this morning

Seen his whole career and he is the guy clumsily reaching for the water bottle. Giving up his Senate seat and would get flummoxed in a general election if nominated.

Strategically - long game - his best hope is to go for a VP nod and hope for the next cycle ala John Edwards
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I doubt. This was probably a strong first step for Rubio. He'll probably play better in NH than Cruz.
 
zitothebrave said:
Iowa is not predictive of nomination. It usually predicts the top evangelical candidate, but they usually wind up 2nd or 3rd overall.

Expect Cruz to finished 3rd or 4th in NH. Huckabee finished a long 3rd way behind mcCain and Romney, Santorum finished a long 4th behind Romney, Paul, and Huntsman.

Last 2 rep noms, the Iowa caucus winner hasn't broken 300 hard delegates. As far as who will be the nomination, it comes down likely to Rubio or Trump. Rubio needs to perform much better in NH than his pollings. As of yesterdays polls, NH has Trump in first with 30+% of the votes, and Rubio, Kasich, Bush, and Cruz all around 10%. If Rubio can siphon off votes from Bush and Kasich he should be able to move into challenging Trump.
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Yeah, and Rubio is appealing now to more and more Evangelicals from the Carl F. Henry and Billy Graham wing vs the Falwell wing. I'm starting to see more and more friends/family members move from Cruz towards Rubio. Anecdotal? Sure.
 
zitothebrave said:
Rubio is not worse than Trump, Carson, or Cruz. Especially Carson. Christie and Paul are the only 2 republicans I'd feel moderately comfortable with. Rubio and Kasich leads the pakc of guys I don't like but don't scare the bejesus out of me. Then there's Trump, Carson, Cruz, and Santorum.
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I wouldn't be shocked to see a Rubio/Kasich ticket.
 
Julio3000 said:
Rubio has the lane wide open right now. It's his to lose.

His campaign strategy has been quite sound, but his actual performance has been unimpressive to me. Still comes off like a kid wearing his dad's suit to me.
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^^^ Yeah, that's what I'm thinking with his surge i Iowa and his beginning to siphon off saner Evangelicals.
 
bravesnumberone said:
Expect Bush, Kasich and Christie to be pressured by the establishment to drop out if they don't finish top 2 in New Hampshire. All three of them have pinned their hopes there, but they seem to have been thwarted by Rubio's strong performance in Iowa.
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I could see Bush sticking/stinking in longer out of spite. Seems there's bad blood between him and Rubio.
 
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