Olivera traded for Kemp

Could be that 10-12 million is the 10.5 they were getting from the Dodgers.

Yep, that's exactly what I was thinking. The Padres will simply pass through the LAD monthly payments (or have the Dodgers simply wire it to a different account now).
 
Here are the specifics of how the $32m from the Dodgers is to be paid to the Padres. I'm not assuming any of this is going to the Braves. The Dodgers were never writing Matt Kemp a check with this money . . . it was going to SD and SD was writing the check.

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/d019...dgers-pay-padres-18m-32m-next-year-kemp-trade

I honestly don't know how this usually works, but I'm pretty sure one team always sends money to the other team rather than actually cutting the player a check. That's why the commissioner's office has to approve any trade where more than $1m is exchanged between teams.

I would be shocked if the Dodgers share of the cash isn't going to the Braves.
 
So how would you have avoided paying the HO money?

You wouldn't. That's why it s called sunk. It is no longer even part of the calculation.

I woukd have DFA and used the 8-12 million on a younger player that would be with us when we have a chance to contend.

We are taking on additional dollars for a 30+ year old 1 WAR player. (Hopefully higher)
 
Seems like a great deal for the Braves. I bet Olivera makes a career for himself somewhere else but it wasnt going to happen here for whatever reason. Kemp is a legit power bat. Has been on a tear since the All Star break. And he has hit much better on the road. If we can dump Markakis I am all for it but theres not much point in dumping salary if theres no quality players to spend it on. Might not be the worst idea to keep all 4 and let injuries and performance sort things out. I wouldnt bet on all 4 being healthy at the same time for more than 25% of the season.
 
Call it how you want. The new added money is only about 23 million over the next 3 years.
yup...we are paying the going rate for about 1 win per year....not great not bad given Kemp's recent track record...looking at Kemp's peripherals, especially his BABIP this year, Im optimistic he'll do a little better going forward than he has so far this year. Having two guys with good range at the other outfield spots would also mitigate his defensive shortcomings. i give the trade a thumbs up.
 
I honestly don't know how this usually works, but I'm pretty sure one team always sends money to the other team rather than actually cutting the player a check. That's why the commissioner's office has to approve any trade where more than $1m is exchanged between teams.

I would be shocked if the Dodgers share of the cash isn't going to the Braves.

Agreed, that's also my understanding of how it works.
 
I honestly don't know how this usually works, but I'm pretty sure one team always sends money to the other team rather than actually cutting the player a check. That's why the commissioner's office has to approve any trade where more than $1m is exchanged between teams.

I would be shocked if the Dodgers share of the cash isn't going to the Braves.

Yeah i would guess the Dodgers pay Pads and Pads pay us 10-12 million. Thus we are double counting the savings.
 
Yep, that's exactly what I was thinking. The Padres will simply pass through the LAD monthly payments (or have the Dodgers simply wire it to a different account now).

If so, what extra will we be paying Kemp per year by your math? Not counting HO's sunk cost that is. I see posts saying 23 million and some saying 16 and MLBTR seems to think the latter is the total amount extra.
 
Kemp's payroll from 8/2016 through the end of his contract: $72m
Olivera's payroll from 8/2016 through the end of his contract: $30m
Money sent from SD to ATL: $10-$12m
Effective cost of acquiring Kemp: $30-$32m
 
If so, what extra will we be paying Kemp per year by your math? Not counting HO's sunk cost that is. I see posts saying 23 million and some saying 16 and MLBTR seems to think the latter is the total amount extra.

If the Braes are simply getting the money the Dodgers were sending then the Braves owe Kemp 54 million over the next 3 years or 18 million.
 
The way I look at it, this deal is a perfectly acceptable move to improve our team in the short run.

1) Yes, we aren't actually paying Kemp $5 million a year, however accepting that Olivera's money was a sunk cost does in fact leave us with about $5 million a year in extra cost to add Kemp to the roster while giving up no assets in return. If we had cut Olivera this year, then signed Kemp for a 3 for $15 million deal, I'd find it perfectly defensible. 2 years ago the expected $ value per 1 WAR was $6 million. Even without adjusting for inflation of that number in two years, I think it's perfectly reasonable to expect Kemp to average around 1 WAR per year.

2) Kemp might be a little more valuable than he seems on paper. If you exclude his awful May performance, he's averaged about a 135 wRC+ this year. I'll take that any day from the RF spot. If we can team him up with Mallex and Inciarte in the short term to mitigate his defensive limitations, he might be an actual useful piece for us. No, he won't be worth his contract, but again we have to look at Olivera's deal as a sunk cost.

Edit: nsacpi pretty much beat me to my entire point in far fewer words.
 
Kemp's payroll from 8/2016 through the end of his contract: $72m
Olivera's payroll from 8/2016 through the end of his contract: $30m
Money sent from SD to ATL: $10-$12m
Effective cost of acquiring Kemp: $30-$32m

So we're paying Kemp 10 million + per year extra? If so, that is crazy...
 
I could see it happening either way, but I hope you're right. We will find out soon enough.

It's really the difference between good and meh. I don't see the Braves contending next year anyways and it does clear all of HO's salary in 2020.
 
According to MLBTR:

"San Diego, then, would be saving anywhere from $13.5MM to $15.5MM over the duration of the 2017-19 seasons. They’ll also save about $5MM on the remainder of Kemp’s 2016 salary. The Braves, who have a very minimal amount of commitments on their long-term ledger, can effectively look at this as an opportunity to acquire Kemp on a three-year deal worth $13.5MM to $15.5MM."

So if they are right, the Braves are getting Kemp for $18.5m-$20.5m.
 
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