Official Draft Day, Post-Draft Thread

Is Waters a guy that's going to need much overslot at #41?

I'm assuming Wright will get most if not all his slot value.

No reasoning for these projections other than hopeful speculation, but...

1.05 (5) Wright - $5,000,000
2.05 (41) Waters - $1,500,000
3.05 (80) Tristan Beck $2,300,000 (we can't pass on him if he's still there, can we???)
4.05 (110) C. J. Van Eyk $487,400
5.05 (140) Andrew Bechtold $350,000
6.05 (170) Je'Von Ward $300,000
7.05 (200) ??? $200,000
8.05 (230) ??? $100,000
9.05 (260) ??? $50,000
10.05 (290) ??? $20,000
 
A few of the best remaining per CBS:

RHP Jared Horn, Vintage HS (CA)

Few players have improved their stock this spring as much as Horn. He's throwing harder than ever before -- he now sits in the 93-95 mph range regularly -- and improved his curveball to the point where it is a consistent out pitch. Horn also throws a slider and a changeup, so he has a deep repertoire for a high schooler. He offers projection at 6-foot-3 and 190 lbs., and he's long drawn rave reviews for his competitiveness and bulldog mentality. Horn is committed to Cal.

3B Drew Mendoza, Lake Mineolla HS (FL)

A two-sport athlete, Mendoza has the makings of an intriguing prospect. Currently a shortstop, he's expected to change positions soon due to his size (he's listed at 6-foot-4) and lacking defensive skills. The good news is he has the arm to hang at third, and could become a solid defender there with time. The even better news is Mendoza's bat has the potential to make him an above-average hitter―particularly if his power improves from its current gap status.

Jesus Luzardo, LHP, Douglas HS (FL)

Someone might well be getting a huge steal here. The lanky, 6-foot-3 lefty was hitting 97 this spring while reportedly sitting in the low-90s with his fastball and flashing the ability to mix in some quality off-speed stuff. So why wasn't he taken yet? Luzardo had Tommy John surgery in the third week of March, that's why. Still, he was only a high school senior this year. There's plenty of time for recovery, and his upside is huge. There's risk, too, obviously, and if he falls even lower he might end up attending the University of Miami, where he had previously committed.

Here's video on Luzardo:

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RHP Corbin Burnes, St. Mary's

A 6-foot-3 right-hander, Burnes was 9-1 with a 2.23 ERA with 112 strikeouts in 97 innings for the Gaels. Though some in the scouting community have questioned if he'll be able to stick as a starter in the pros, he flashes a low-to-mid-90s fastball with a curveball that has been called elite by Baseball America's Hudson Belinsky. There's also a very good changeup in the arsenal. A possible cause for concern? He hit 14 batters in his 97 innings.

Austin Hays, OF, Jacksonville

Hays started his collegiate career at Seminole State Juco and transferred to Jacksonville after one year. He had a decent sophomore campaign and then blew up in 2016. On the season, he hit .350/.406/.655 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 homers and 15 steals in 54 games. The power-speed combo bodes well, particularly because he's said to be a prototypical right fielder. Also, the 32 strikeouts in 223 at-bats shows some contact skills at a young age.

Heath Quinn, OF, Samford

Listed at 6-foot-3 and 220 pounds, it's easy to see the allure here for this power-hitting corner outfielder. Quinn's been here before, kind of. He was drafted in the 12th round by the Indians out of high school, but he's significantly improved his draft stock in college. This past season, he hit .343 with 17 doubles, 21 homers and -- brace yourself -- 77 RBI in 61 games. He did strike out 55 times, but he also drew 44 walks.

Again, there are exponentially more players on the board for Friday. We'll see Rounds 3-10 drafted, beginning at 1 p.m. ET (it can be streamed on MLB.com). Then, on Saturday, Rounds 11-40 will take place to conclude the draft. It used to be 50 rounds and before that, it was unlimited. Forty seems like plenty.

That's from last year's draft.
 
More from BA:

25. Jon Denney, c, Yukon (Okla.) HS

34. Connor Jones, rhp, Great Bridge HS, Chesapeake, Va.

35. Kyle Serrano, rhp, Farragut (Tenn.) HS

37. Bobby Wahl, rhp, Mississippi

42. Cord Sandberg, of, Manatee HS, Bradenton, Fla.

48. Rowdy Tellez, 1b, Elk Grove (Calif.) HS

49. Trey Masek RHP 4YR Texas Tech

50. Andrew Mitchell RHP 4YR Texas Christian

58. Ryan Boldt OF HS Red Wing (Minn.) HS

61. Kent Emanuel LHP 4YR North Carolina

63. Tyler O’Neill C HS Garibaldi SS, Maple Ridge, B.C.

65. Dom Nunez C HS Elk Grove (Calif.) HS

66. Garrett Williams LHP HS Calvary Baptist HS, Shreveport, La.

67. Cavan Biggio 2B HS St. Thomas HS, Houston

68. Jared King OF 4YR Kansas State

70. Chandler Eden RHP HS Yuba City (Calif.) HS

72. Chris Okey C HS Eustis, Fla., HS

73. Tyler Skulina RHP/1B 4YR Kent State

75. Jacoby Jones 2B 4YR Louisiana State

78. A.J. Vanegas RHP 4YR Stanford

79. Michael O’Neill OF 4YR Michigan

80. Jake Brentz LHP HS Parkway South HS, Manchester, Mo..

81. Trey Michalczewski 3B HS Jenks (Okla.) HS

84. Garrett Hampson SS HS Reno (Nev.) HS

85. A.J. Puk LHP HS Washington HS, Cedar Rapids, Iowa

Read more at http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/best-available-after-first-day/#echru4YWUqVSDVbb.99

And this list is like 3-4 years old.
 
I wish we knew what Wright/Waters were going to sign for. That'd make it a lot easier to know who we could realistically be going after.
 
Is Waters a guy that's going to need much overslot at #41?

I'm assuming Wright will get most if not all his slot value.

I think they might have to go a bit overslot to sign Waters. Hopefully Waters has always wanted to be a Brave. They may go with a college senior or two early today to get some coin they can move.
 
No reasoning for these projections other than hopeful speculation, but...

1.05 (5) Wright - $5,000,000
2.05 (41) Waters - $1,500,000
3.05 (80) Tristan Beck $2,300,000 (we can't pass on him if he's still there, can we???)
4.05 (110) C. J. Van Eyk $487,400
5.05 (140) Andrew Bechtold $350,000
6.05 (170) Je'Von Ward $300,000
7.05 (200) ??? $200,000
8.05 (230) ??? $100,000
9.05 (260) ??? $50,000
10.05 (290) ??? $20,000

Bottom of the round would figure to be college seniors on 10,000 deals.
 
Bottom of the round would figure to be college seniors on 10,000 deals.

No doubt - just trying to leave a little cushion in the hopes that we could move enough money around to land the guys I have listed in rounds 3-6. Assuming we took senior signs ($10,000 each) in the 8th through 10th rounds the money saved there could push Waters right up to slot value.
 
I HATE the slot money. It allows players to play the system. Instead of a slot assignment, it should be a capped amount. So a guy taken in the 5th round can't ask for big money. He can only get the max of what the cap allows for that pick.

How crazy of a system is it, for a guy to be taken in the top 10 and refuse to sign....and then enter the draft another year. That is NOT fair to teams.

Most other drafts...you go into the draft...that's it. You better sign, because you can't enter another year. That's fair and don't even get me into teams unable to trade their own picks. The MLB draft is so strange.

Those other drafts are less fair to players. Fairness to teams isn't the only consideration.
 
Baseball America draft writer saying Nick Allen likely goes third in the third round to San Diego.
 
Wright and Waters are probably going to cost slot plus 10%. It would be awesome if they could get Wright for a little under slot, but the fact SD passed on him tells me he won't be cutting any deals...or they wouldn't have switched gears to Lewis.

Beck has tons of leverage to go back to school and improve his draft stock. A team will likely have to pony up close to 1st round money to sign him. The Braves will have to come up with an extra $1M-$1.5M to get him signed. I say, go for it, take BPA. Worst case scenario they get the #81 pick next year.
 
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