Really weird that there isn’t a mention of Weigl or Allard in that follow up post from FG. This isn’t the same as stating that I disagree with their assessment. I am inclined to believe the current consensus that Allard is just a guy.
What I don’t buy is that Allard’s stuff backed up that much this year to fall from a consensus top 30 guy to off everybody’s list considering his good performance this year, which makes me question what scouting reports these gurus were going off the year before where everybody seemed universally high on the guy.
I think the cold reality is that there are really only fifteen or so can’t miss prospects that all the prospect gurus get right and the rest of the top 100 is a collection of players gurus put on the list to minimize fan outcry, which is how you arrive with players like Allard being a consensus top guy one year and off everybody’s list the next. It’s that or everybody in the prospecting industry talk to the same scouts and front office people and the ordering is a simple differentiation strategy.