nsacpi
Expects Yuge Games
I care because I remember what the BJ Upton contract did to the braves. What the Derek Lowe contract did. Dan Uggla. And Harper or Machado would be 2-3x that amount. We don’t want to see that happen again. Because those large record breaking contracts hardly ever work out in the team’s favor. Are there exceptions? Of course. But blowing our wad to go all in for one year will often times end up in more periods where the braves have to rebuild and having Josh Anderson roam CF isn’t very entertaining.
Not to mention, signing Harper may mean that we have to let Freddie/Acuna/Albies/etc go before we really should bc of the money tied up to Harper. It just doesn’t make sense for a mid market team to spend that kind of money on one player.
going all-in does not produce any guarantees...there is this strange misconception that shortening the window while modestly increasing the odds in a particular year increases your chances of a championship...
i think the smarter approach is 1) to focus relentlessly on value, 2) be realistic at the deadline (sell some years, plug weaknesses the years you are in contention), 3) avoid the risks associated with long-term deals that pay 30 something players big money...there is no magic bullet out there, but these common sense rules will increase any team's chances of success
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