2018 Offseason And Targets

[thewupk]

Hopefully they saved a little for Harper

I'm just glad a non NL East team made a major move

 

[Heyward]

Padres have to acquire some pitching now, probably by trading an OFer. They could live up well with the Braves in that regard.

They have alot of pitching in their farm but not sure any of them are ready.

 

[Heyward]

Hopefully they saved a little for Harper

I'm just glad a non NL East team made a major move

I dont think they get both.

 

[Acuña’s Bat Flip]

10 years/300 mil for Manny, havent seen if it's straight 10/300 with an opt out or not though.

If only we all could loaf around and not hustle and still make a cool $300 mil!

 

[BeanieAntics]

This notion that a team is a contender for a playoff spot, but not a contender for a WS title is pure stupidity.

There are 8-10 playoff teams each year (depending on your definition), meaning each team that makes the playoffs has a roughly 10%-12.5% chance of winning the WS.

2018: Boston 108 wins
2017: Houston 101 wins
2016: Chicago 103 wins
2015: Kansas City 95 wins
2014: San Francisco 88 wins (WC)
2013: Red Sox 93 wins
2012: San Francisco 94 wins
2011: St Louis 90 wins (WC)
2010: San Francisco 92 wins
2009: New York 103 wins
2008: Philly 92 wins
2007: Boston 96 wins
2006: St Louis 83 wins

Keep looking and you will see the WS is won by a pretty even mix of 100+ win super teams and much lesser 90 win good teams.

The key to winning a WS is getting to playoffs, not making some magical roster deemed "ready to win a WS".

This is why I've always said that the goal should be to make the playoffs. Once you're there, its largely a crapshoot that anyone could win.

 

[Enscheff]

He'll be 31. He won't opt out of that

He may if the deal is front loaded.

 

[Super]

If only we all could loaf around and not hustle and still make a cool $300 mil!

if only we call could be one of the best baseball players on the planet

 

[Acuña’s Bat Flip]

Who is Kimbrel's agent?

 

[bravesfanMatt]

This is why I've always said that the goal should be to make the playoffs. Once you're there, its largely a crapshoot that anyone could win.

A little misleading stats though. To be truthful you need to account the top 6 teams and the bottom 6 teams and see how often and how far they advance. I think you would see the better teams typically advance farther and more often over the lessor teams. Not to say a team can get hot and win it all. But the likely hold is smaller than a great team doing what it should and winning.

 

[CrimsonCowboy]

No player is worth that insane of a contract. Just stupid

 

[bravesfanMatt]

And good for the Friars committing to trying to win. They have good pitching in the minors so this might not be a play for this year but next and down the line.

 

[Enscheff]

franmil for who?
i doubt they trade him actually.

Franmil is certainly the guy to be targeting, but he is very hard to place a value on. Will the hit tool allow his power to play up enough to make up for his below average OF defense?

Renfroe is another guy who could be a decent addition, but not a true difference maker in an everyday role.

Both guys bat RHed, and both guys hit the ball harder than anyone currently on the roster. I wouldn't give up too much for either though.

The other option is Meyers and the 3/60 he's owed from 2020-2022.

I think I just talked myself out of acquiring a Padre OFer.

 

[JxnMissFan]

Peller is truly the dumbest GM in the game. Signing Machado locked in third place in the NL West. Lol

Meyers is still cheap this year but in 2020 Meyers, Hosmer and Machado will account for close to 75 million in payroll. I’m wondering how Peller will fill out the team.

In three years Peller will be begging teams to take Machado salary relief.

 

[Acuña’s Bat Flip]

And good for the Friars committing to trying to win. They have good pitching in the minors so this might not be a play for this year but next and down the line.

They have made Father Brown proud.

 

[BeanieAntics]

A little misleading stats though. To be truthful you need to account the top 6 teams and the bottom 6 teams and see how often and how far they advance. I think you would see the better teams typically advance farther and more often over the lessor teams. Not to say a team can get hot and win it all. But the likely hold is smaller than a great team doing what it should and winning.

You'd be surprised how small the correlation is between regular season success and playoff success.

https://www.principallyuncertain.com/mlb-playoffs-crapshoot/

So like I said, the goal should be to make the playoffs because everything that happens after that is largely random.

 

[zbhargrove]

No player is worth that insane of a contract. Just stupid

Especially one with 2 bionic knees

 

[Heyward]

If only we all could loaf around and not hustle and still make a cool $300 mil!

Machado's one of the best players in baseball, he deserves 10/300.

 

[Heyward]

No player is worth that insane of a contract. Just stupid

That's market value.

 

[Buzzworm]

Don’t know what we can do when we are asked to compete with a mega market like San Diego.
Our little tiny market can’t compete with that....good for them,What a novel idea, having a great minor league system AND spending in free agency.
I’m sure they will fail and end up regretting the move but we shall see.
I hope they have success as I believe it’s good for the game for a small market team to have a hope of signing elite players along with developing there own thru the farm.

 

[bravesfanMatt]

You'd be surprised how small the correlation is between regular season success and playoff success.

https://www.principallyuncertain.com/mlb-playoffs-crapshoot/

So like I said, the goal should be to make the playoffs because everything that happens after that is largely random.

Color me surprised. The gap was smaller than I thought.