Braves sign OF Marcell Ozuna to 1 yr, 18 Million.

Southcack77 said:
Maybe winning 63% of the one run games is not something the Braves can count on, but one run games aren't a coin flip either. Good teams tend to win them at higher rates, particularly those teams that have good pitching.

The Braves were 18-20 on May 9th. I think I remember that being a symptom of pitching dysfunction, but it might be interesting to go back and look. I think with the Braves lineup now you could expect a more stable pitching staff to pick up several games there. That's a hypothesis anyway.

That might well offset any reduction in one run games.
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the Braves were swept in the opening series due to terrible pitching.
Soroka and Folty were out and i don't believe Fried was in the rotation yet.
SP being better from the start will be big for sure.
 
Super said:
Brad Miller is out there if he can play 3B. not sure what his arm is like
Scott Gennett is also out there. can prob play 3rd. wonder what's going on with him.
and then Holt.

any of them i'd be cool with.
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Oooooohhhh I hadn't thought about Scooter Gennett. He'd be a great 1 year bounce back signing if we could get him cheaply and he could handle 3rd.
 
thewupk said:
To be fair Bridich is a horrible GM and may possibly think that something like the Tex deal is going to happen for his star player if he waits it out.

Would't be shocked if Nolan opts out in 2 years and the Rockies get nothing.
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To be fair, based on surplus value they shouldn’t really expect anything anyways. Which is probably why they are comfortable with that possibility.
 
I am not sure I would gamble on Scooter handling 3rd and bouncing back offensively over going with a more sure thing in Holt. But if Holt is looking for multi year then scooter might be worth the risk.
 
Southcack77 said:
Maybe winning 63% of the one run games is not something the Braves can count on, but one run games aren't a coin flip either. Good teams tend to win them at higher rates, particularly those teams that have good pitching.
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To be more specific, teams with good bullpens tend to win more one run games.
 
bravesfanMatt said:
I am not sure I would gamble on Scooter handling 3rd and bouncing back offensively over going with a more sure thing in Holt. But if Holt is looking for multi year then scooter might be worth the risk.
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Ozuna just signed for 1 year. I doubt Holt is thinking he'll get multiple years. it's possible tho. maybe the figure is too high in general.
 
Super said:
Ozuna just signed for 1 year. I doubt Holt is thinking he'll get multiple years. it's possible tho. maybe the figure is too high in general.
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I don’t think he would either. It is why I would rather just go with him over scooter. I am not sure Gennett can handle 3rd either.
 
True Super, some sports radio guys like to rile things up and look at things the wrong way even worse than fans do.

Southcrack hit it pretty close, Arenado's value really is in the range of a QO draft pick.
 
MadduxFanII said:
Interesting argument here that the discrepancy between Ozuna's actual numbers and his Statcast expected numbers is at least partially because Ozuna's swing generates a slice, which systematically results in an under-performance relative to the batted ball data.
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Interesting argument that this post generates a big slice of buzzkill. Can’t be good for your ETR.
 
This is a great acquisition. Probably better in the long run over Donaldson at 4 years. Now I wish we could get a left-handed bat who could play third. Even better, one who could also play SS.
 
I keep seeing $158M as the payroll. I'm getting 10M less. What am I missing?

8.0 d'Arnaud
22.0 Freeman
1.0 Albies
3.1 Swanson
1.6 Camargo
18.0 Ozuna
7.0 Inciarte
1.0 Acuna
61.7 Subtotal

4.0 Flowers
3.8 Duvall
4.0 Markakis
0.6 Culberson (or other)
1.0 Hechevarria
13.4 Subtotal

0.6 Soroka
0.6 Fried
18.0 Hamels
6.4 Foltynewicz
0.6 Newcomb
26.2 Subtotal

14.0 Melancon
13.0 SmithW
6.5 Greene
7.0 Martin
2.7 O'Day
1.8 Jackson
0.8 Dayton
0.6 Webb
46.4 Subtotal

61.7+13.4+26.2+46.4= $147.7M

Is there deferred or dead money or do we count all the non-roster invitees (which still doesn't approach the $158M I have read) or is that number incorrect?
 
A lot of people quote the luxury cap number, which is calculated much differently than adding up the yearly salaries.

For one, the luxury tax value has an additional $15M for player benefits. It also uses the average value of the contract rather than the amount paid that season.

Your numbers are accurate.
 
I'm assuming that Ozuna completes the bandage stop gap before Pache and Waters.

The next move after this one is trading Inciarte. I'm fine if we don't this year and go for it as Pache is likely not as good as Inciarte is now.
 
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