What proportion of the new york city population is in the at risk group.
That's what we need to know.
What proportion of the new york city population is in the at risk group.
That's irrelevant to the IFR. Moving the goalposts again I see.
Meta (back in late March): 500k potentially dead with 100 million infections. Why do you want to genocide the elderly?
[Tw]1253321483402674178[/tw]
Ugh....I want to believe this so bad. Confirmation bias raging.
Lockdowns useless....
China data![]()
soccer games (outdoor) were major vectors in Northern italy
[Tw]1253321483402674178[/tw]
Ugh....I want to believe this so bad. Confirmation bias raging.
Lockdowns useless....
China data![]()
How is this new data? Or even relevant? Common sense tells you are more likely to get it from people you come into contact with frequently like your family, co-workers, neighbors, or school mates and not some stranger walking down the streeet.
Which would give you what conclusion on lockdowns?
That if you do get it, you are super likely to get it from people you come in contact with everyday, like your family, co-workers, neighbors, or school mates.
Unless you've reversed course and are now saying it isn't super contagious.
[Tw]1253368278937894915[/tw]
Looks like many believe this number is much higher in actuality.
Good sign.
Maybe up to 35% infection rate in NYC.
Not sure where you are seeing that, but even if the highest estimate of 35% were true, IFR of confirmed deaths would also be nearly .4% and climbing. Considering NYC unofficial death count is nearly 15K, you are also looking at .5% death rate.
More time indoors with the contagion is bad.
May be we should never go indoors again. Really teach this virus who's boss.
I expect lots of 'playing' with the death count.
Still doesn't change the fact that almost half the population (maybe more) does not have a .5% chance of dying from the virus.
Putting even 1/3 of the population at serious risk of hospitalization or death doesn't sound any better.