GDT: 11/3/20, Election Day, Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph R. Biden

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Got your nose in the election rolls? Really curious what you are basing this on.

All I can do is evaluate total vote increase by county in the last few election cycles. That doesn’t give me participation percentages but it’s still enough to identify variance in excess of 2 deviations or extremely generous thresholds for materiality.
 
There will be double voters. That’s always been true in elections. In fact, you’ll see double votes cast for Trump!!

If you were to estimate the percentages of errors for each side using a share of the total impact what would you guess?
 
All I can do is evaluate total vote increase by county in the last few election cycles. That doesn’t give me participation percentages but it’s still enough to identify variance in excess of 2 deviations or extremely generous thresholds for materiality.

My friend.

You can’t do statistical analyses unless you have (1) entire population of data or (2) unbiased sample of data.

Don’t waste your time making 2+2=5
 
My friend.

You can’t do statistical analyses unless you have (1) entire population of data or (2) unbiased sample of data.

Don’t waste your time making 2+2=5

Excuse me but you can evaluate key areas since our country is regional. The participation increase in California means little in comparison to the participation in a swing state.
 
Couldn’t tell you. I trust the election boards will review this as part of their certification process.

How many errors that have been identified so far have been in support of a republican?

The same amount of news stories that ended up being fabricated have. This is just more of the endless machine against the nationalist movement.

In time there will be so much evidence it will be effectively settled to all those aside the 57s/goldys of the left.
 
At the end of the day, Biden got 4 million more votes. Is election fraud a possibility? Yes. Could that fraud have been enough to swing the results in a few swing states? Not as likely, but still possible.

Is it likely that fraud happened and disproportionately impacted the presidential election and the conspiracy reaches the election review committees that they cover up fraud? Man, the odds of that have to be comically low, especially with the down ballot success of Republicans.

Ocam’s razor applies
 
wasn't there a trump lady who tried to vote twice in nevada and cried voter fraud when they didn't let her
 
Excuse me but you can evaluate key areas since our country is regional. The participation increase in California means little in comparison to the participation in a swing state.

Please send a screen shot of your model. I want to see what analysis you are doing.
 
To make a sports analogy, Trump is asking for replay review of a runner stealing second base in the 9th inning (Georgia). It's quite obvious that the runner made it to second base in time (Biden won), but he might have come off the base for a millisecond (fraud). The runner was called safe on the play. Even if the challenge seems desperate, Trump is within his rights to ask for one.. even encouraged! (Certified results are a good thing!)

We should trust that the replay officials are reviewing the play with no bias and trust the decision (election certification process). If the call on the field stands, I trust that the majority of Republicans will accept the outcome. What I don't want to see is Trump protest the results of the game because at that point why even play at all if we don't accept the win/loss record.
 
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hey thethe, did you see this...what might be happening is california is shipping spare votes to alaska...better get on it

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To make a sports analogy, Trump is asking for replay review of a runner stealing second base in the 9th inning (Georgia). It's quite obvious that the runner made it to second base in time (Biden won), but he might have come off the base for a millisecond (fraud). The runner was called safe on the play. Even if the challenge seems desperate, Trump is within his rights to ask for one.. even encouraged! (Certified results are a good thing!)

We should trust that the replay officials are reviewing the play with no bias and trust the decision (election certification process). If the call on the field stands, I trust that the majority of Republicans will accept the outcome. What I don't want to see is Trump protest the results of the game because at that point why even play at all if we don't accept the win/loss record.

the part you're missing is the score is 9-2
 
the part you're missing is the score is 9-2
This is a very important caveat. Trump would need multiple states to overturn their results.

It's just not going to happen.

I will give thethe this.. If the level of corruption did happen that he thinks happened, then our institutions are so corroded than the threat of civil war is justified. It would be the biggest event in the history of our democracy.
 
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poor Brad Raffensperger

i guess he aint (R) enough
 
This is a very important caveat. Trump would need multiple states to overturn their results.

It's just not going to happen.

I will give thethe this.. If the level of corruption did happen that he thinks happened, then our institutions are so corroded than the threat of civil war is justified. It would be the biggest event in the history of our democracy.

Trump will still be playing golf.
 
This is a very important caveat. Trump would need multiple states to overturn their results.

It's just not going to happen.

I will give thethe this.. If the level of corruption did happen that he thinks happened, then our institutions are so corroded than the threat of civil war is justified. It would be the biggest event in the history of our democracy.

Slightly worse than weaponizing the fbi/cia against the opposition party in a presidential election.

I suppose we can pretend that still didn’t happen and not imagine how much further they could go.
 
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