2014 playoff watch

cajunrevenge said:
Calling it a crap shoot is just a short answer. The odds are more like 55-45 or 60-40 depending on how good the teams are. If you have a 60% chance of winning every series there's a good chance your going to lose one of the 3 series. The longer the series the better chance the better team wins. In football a playoff game is over 6% of the regular season. Basketball it's around 9%. Baseball the division series is around 3%. Basically the playoffs are a small sample size.

Money ball is misinterpreted by the media. It's just finding under valued players/stats. What is undervalued changes. Yes that has existed since the dawn of time. What was controversial at the time was what he considered undervalued. It was part of the statistical revolution of modern sports.
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Hogwash. There have been teams that have walked a lot since the game was created. The first things my youth league coach told me were: "A walk is as good as a hit" and "Don't swing at crap."

As per wupk's point, I think the A's weakness right now is their offense and I thought adding Lester for Cespedes was overkill. From the look of this weekend, they need another bat more than Lester.
 
Oakland had an awesome staff before Lester. I do think it was overkill. We will see, but I have no doubt Oakland makes the playoffs.
 
50PoundHead said:
Hogwash. There have been teams that have walked a lot since the game was created. The first things my youth league coach told me were: "A walk is as good as a hit" and "Don't swing at crap."

As per wupk's point, I think the A's weakness right now is their offense and I thought adding Lester for Cespedes was overkill. From the look of this weekend, they need another bat more than Lester.
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It was undervalued in the sense is that's not what brought in the big bucks on contracts. Teams paid for the homers, high averages, and inflated RBI totals. Oakland could not compete with that and had to look outside the box.
 
thewupk said:
It was undervalued in the sense is that's not what brought in the big bucks on contracts. Teams paid for the homers, high averages, and inflated RBI totals. Oakland could not compete with that and had to look outside the box.
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Oakland probably wont be able to keep Lester after this year, i guess the same is true with Ces after his deal is up.

I guess Beane said he's going for it while they have a good team in place.

But is a playoff rotation of Shark, Gray, Kazmir, Hammel or Chavez with Cespedes much worse with Lester, without him?
 
Heyward said:
Oakland probably wont be able to keep Lester after this year, i guess the same is true with Ces after his deal is up.

I guess Beane said he's going for it while they have a good team in place.

But is a playoff rotation of Shark, Gray, Kazmir, Hammel or Chavez with Cespedes much worse with Lester, without him?
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Yes. Hammel has been abysmal with the A's and Chavez is reaching the end of the line as far as innings go.
 
Dalyn said:
Yes. Hammel has been abysmal with the A's and Chavez is reaching the end of the line as far as innings go.
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Probably true but if they get stuck in the 1-game playoff, that could bite them in the ass.

A top 4 of Lester, Gray, Kazmir, Shark is pretty sick though.
 
Heyward said:
Probably true but if they get stuck in the 1-game playoff, that could bite them in the ass.

A top 4 of Lester, Gray, Kazmir, Shark is pretty sick though.
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It could. But that situation would really hurt most teams if they advance since they would have had to burn their ace. Wouldn't hurt Oakland nearly as much.
 
thewupk said:
It could. But that situation would really hurt most teams if they advance since they would have had to burn their ace. Wouldn't hurt Oakland nearly as much.
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Say they have to face the Mariners (KING FELIX), or Tigers (Price, Verlander or Scherzer)

I wouldnt want my season on the line facing them :Sad:
 
thewupk said:
While he's not that bad I think Cepedes is overrated. He has legit power but doesn't walk much and hits a lot of infield flies which make for easy outs.
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He was awesome his first year, but he always seems to be hurting a little and doesn't run or defend like that first year. Still has monster power with a great arm.
 
thewupk said:
It could. But that situation would really hurt most teams if they advance since they would have had to burn their ace. Wouldn't hurt Oakland nearly as much.
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Exactly. Getting Lester protects them from that scenario.
 
What screwed us for the most part against the Giants was getting swept at home. As I recall, we scored three damn runs that whole series. That was part of our 7-game losing streak I believe.
 
bravesnumberone said:
I want them to make it, but I really don't think I can stomach watching this team fumble around and **** up in October. I don't want to see them get absolutely embarrassed.
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I know, I don't know if I could watch that either. Probably lose 1001 to 3. Selig will probably have to invent a mercy rule after one of the big boy teams score 75 runs without recording an out. Game 2 all our pitchers will be out pending Tommy John surgery so Andrelton will have to pitch. He throws a 13 inning 1 hitter but we lose 1-0 after BJ falls asleep in center and misses a routine fly ball. Game 3? Probably just forfeit. Then the franchise will be contracted and all our good players will be auctioned off to the highest bidder like cattle. Then the city of Atlanta will disappear off the face of the earth and become the new Atlantis.

Fredi knows this, that's why he starts BJ.
 
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