2018: The Year Of The Venezuelan Trout

I guess the question is whether his second half is the Acuna baseline or whether it represents a hot streak. I lean toward the latter because it would be the answer for just about any player.
 
nsacpi said:
I guess the question is whether his second half is the Acuna baseline or whether it represents a hot streak. I lean toward the latter because it would be the answer for just about any player.
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Yeah I'm not sure I'm ready to peg Acuna as a player who can sustain a baseline of a 1.129 OPS lol. That would almost definitely make him the GOAT by the end of his career. I think the season stats that we are seeing from Acuna right now are what we can expect moving forward in all likelihood. A 900ish OPS. Its possible that it could be a little better since he is so young, but my God how much can we seriously ask for? Lol
 
nsacpi said:
I guess the question is whether his second half is the Acuna baseline or whether it represents a hot streak. I lean toward the latter because it would be the answer for just about any player.
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Certainly that kind of production is not sustainable, but he's been consistent for quite a bit longer than your average hot streak. Plus it seems he did this all through the minors... he just kept getting better and better as he adjusted more and more. I don't think he can sustain his second half, but I think he's much better than his first half.
 
BeanieAntics said:
Yeah I'm not sure I'm ready to peg Acuna as a player who can sustain a baseline of a 1.129 OPS lol. That would almost definitely make him the GOAT by the end of his career. I think the season stats that we are seeing from Acuna right now are what we can expect moving forward in all likelihood. A 900ish OPS. Its possible that it could be a little better since he is so young, but my God how much can we seriously ask for? Lol
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.900ish OPS with his defense makes him a top 2-3 player. Not sure you can ask for much better than that. If he is just an .850 OPS hitter, with his defense he'd still be a borderline top 10 positional player.
 
Carp said:
.900ish OPS with his defense makes him a top 2-3 player. Not sure you can ask for much better than that. If he is just an .850 OPS hitter, with his defense he'd still be a borderline top 10 positional player.
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Yeah that is what I'm saying. Even if we take the entirety of this season as his baseline, its a ridiculous benchmark. He would have to regress a ridiculous degree to even approach something that looked "average"... Acuna is unreal and we are immensely lucky.
 
nsacpi said:
I guess the question is whether his second half is the Acuna baseline or whether it represents a hot streak. I lean toward the latter because it would be the answer for just about any player.
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The .360 BABIP and the 32% Hr/FB rate out of the lead off spot suggest maybe a bit lucky.

I don’t think he’s quite a .340 60 hr guy.
 
Super said:
down another 1.2% since this post to 26.1.
Now down to 21% in the 2nd half with a 10.2% BB rate.
He good.
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First post: K rate was 27.3% which was down from 29% a week+ prior
Second post: K rate was down to 26.1%; 21% in the 2nd half with a 10.2% BB rate
Now (two weeks later): K rate down to 24.8%, BB rate up to 9.6%; 20.1% K and 12.1% BB in the 2nd half.
the progression of the numbers here has me more excited than the homers...tho they are fun as well.
 
Super said:
First post: K rate was 27.3% which was down from 29% a week+ prior
Second post: K rate was down to 26.1%; 21% in the 2nd half with a 10.2% BB rate
Now (two weeks later): K rate down to 24.8%, BB rate up to 9.6%; 20.1% K and 12.1% BB in the 2nd half.
the progression of the numbers here has me more excited than the homers...tho they are fun as well.
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VERY impressive for a 20 year old. Really one of the more impressive progressions I've seen. Kid has a great eye at the plate.
 
Super said:
First post: K rate was 27.3% which was down from 29% a week+ prior
Second post: K rate was down to 26.1%; 21% in the 2nd half with a 10.2% BB rate
Now (two weeks later): K rate down to 24.8%, BB rate up to 9.6%; 20.1% K and 12.1% BB in the 2nd half.
the progression of the numbers here has me more excited than the homers...tho they are fun as well.
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I'm too lazy to go look it up, but I don't remember Chipper being this good when he first came up. Chipper is the best that I have followed closely from day 1, so I can't give higher praise than that.
 
Jaw said:
I'm too lazy to go look it up, but I don't remember Chipper being this good when he first came up. Chipper is the best that I have followed closely from day 1, so I can't give higher praise than that.
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Chipper tore his ACL when he first came up, so he definitely lost in the scary-knee-injury comps. However, his actual rookie year was great. Should have won the ROY, but some 40-year-old Japanese rookie won it instead. On the other hand, Chipper was 23 his rookie year, practically an old man by Acuna standards. But well younger than Soto.
 
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Super said:
First post: K rate was 27.3% which was down from 29% a week+ prior
Second post: K rate was down to 26.1%; 21% in the 2nd half with a 10.2% BB rate
Now (two weeks later): K rate down to 24.8%, BB rate up to 9.6%; 20.1% K and 12.1% BB in the 2nd half.
the progression of the numbers here has me more excited than the homers...tho they are fun as well.
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Since July 20:

224 PA: 12.1% BB 20.1% K

I think this is the sample since he was most recently moved to leadoff role.
 
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