2020 Field

nsacpi said:
still riding that Red Wave in 2020 bandwagon eh...good luck dude
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Yiu should look at state polling. And then remember how undervalued the polls got the trump support.

I get it's difficult for you but if the left puts socialism in the ballot trump may win 400 electoral votes.

If they out Biden up he will still win 350
 
Incumbent advantage + the economy humming (if it still is a year from now) should = Trump re-election. But I’m not sure how many of the old rules still apply.
 
thethe said:
Yiu should look at state polling. And then remember how undervalued the polls got the trump support.

I get it's difficult for you but if the left puts socialism in the ballot trump may win 400 electoral votes.

If they out Biden up he will still win 350
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You keep spouting this drivel. The national polls in 2016 showed HRC was averaging over a 3 percent lead leading up to election day. A hefty lead for certain, but considering that she won the popular vote by 2 percent, it was completely within the margin of error. State polls varied, but showed HRC had a very slim lead days before the election. Somewhere just over 1 percent.
 
Carp said:
You keep spouting this drivel. The national polls in 2016 showed HRC was averaging over a 3 percent lead leading up to election day. A hefty lead for certain, but considering that she won the popular vote by 2 percent, it was completely within the margin of error. State polls varied, but showed HRC had a very slim lead days before the election. Somewhere just over 1 percent.
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https://www.nytimes.com/subscription?campaignId=6KYF6

Should I post more articles?
 
thethe said:
I get it's difficult for you but if the left puts socialism in the ballot trump may win 400 electoral votes.

If they out Biden up he will still win 350
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this is just dumb as ****

please tell me the states he can add that would get to 350

much less 400

i think the traitor can win again unfortunately (unless he is rightly removed) but he ain't picking up any new states to get to your numbers. the most i could see if 27 electoral votes and that is everything else still being held on it

much less the outright blinders you have to have on watching election results since he has come to power
 
goldfly said:
this is just dumb as ****

please tell me the states he can add that would get to 350

much less 400

i think the traitor can win again unfortunately (unless he is rightly removed) but he ain't picking up any new states to get to your numbers. the most i could see if 27 electoral votes and that is everything else still being held on it

much less the outright blinders you have to have on watching election results since he has come to power
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Put socialism on the ballot. Please
 
thethe said:
https://www.nytimes.com/subscription?campaignId=6KYF6

Should I post more articles?
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I don't subscribe to the NYT.


But here you go:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...rump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html

Clearly shows an average lead of 3.3 on the national polls. Popular vote showed HRC finished with a 2.1 point lead. So it clearly wasn't far off the mark.

Also according to RealClearPolitics (which takes an average of the state polls) Clinton showed a lead of 3 points or less in pretty much all of the battle ground states save Florida, including Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which she eventually lost all 3 in very close victories for Trump. Again, these results were all within the margin of error. They were upsets because those states had voted Democrat in the last 3 elections.
 
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Carp said:
Also, this article is a pretty good synopsis.

https://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/Reports/An-Evaluation-of-2016-Election-Polls-in-the-U-S.aspx

As Sean Trende noted, “The final RealClearPolitics Poll Averages in the battleground states had Clinton leading by the slimmest of margins in the Electoral College, 272-266.” The polls on average indicated that Trump was one state away from winning the election.
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A step further: When you break the exit polls down into component demographics, you find the polls even closer to the final result at that level, with the primary difference being not the polling but the turnout models. They used turnout models based on 2008 and 2012, and 2016 saw more turnout from uneducated whites and less turnout from non-whites than did those years. That was essentially the entire point or point and a half difference.
 
when jim jordan says corruption was the system in ukraine........ but thats the system trump wanted to investigate his political rivals.....
 
oh god damn when jim jordan says the person who started all this should testify

"Donald Trump is welcome to testify whenever he wants"


shots fired. Mr. Welch bringing the heat.
 
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thethe said:
Put socialism on the ballot. Please
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tell me what states you will get?

seriously, break down the landslide

i can see a path to victory with voter suppression, lies and fear with some good white supremacy

but a landslide even if a damn communist was on the other side ain't happening

but i would love to see your breakdown of this "landslide" victory of 350 if not 400 lol
 
goldfly said:
tell me what states you will get?

seriously, break down the landslide

i can see a path to victory with voter suppression, lies and fear with some good white supremacy

but a landslide even if a damn communist was on the other side ain't happening

but i would love to see your breakdown of this "landslide" victory of 350 if not 400 lol
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You watch America mobilize to reject what has failed countless times globally. America was founded on the rejection of the underlying concept of communism/socialism and it will be resilient in the fight against it.
 
seriously, what states are ya gonna flip while holding every single one he barely won last time

i want to see the math for 350 and 400
 
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