2024 Field

acesfull86 said:
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According to the poll, conducted using Ipsos' Knowledge Panel, 86% of Americans think Biden, 81, is too old to serve another term as president.


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This is the man we’re supposed to believe is our last best hope at saving American democracy, lol
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Yep. Let’s save democracy by electing a guy that can’t wipe himself.

The fact is- you are electing an unidentified group that makes his moves for him behind the scenes.

That’s not democracy in any shape or form
 
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Just like they all did during 2016-2020 the uniparty will do whatever it takes for Trump to not be in power and actaully be able to lead like the people want him to.
 
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Shame election day isn't tomorrow. Who knows what types of things the uniparty will do to ensure they are still in power.
 
I think the safe bet is Biden wins the popular vote since thats happened since the 2008 election.

Battleground state polls are the most accurate for EC purposes.

But the last time a R candidate has had this type of lead this late into the election season in GE polls was the 2004 election.
 
thethe said:
Better than that since Michael and Newsome won't be on the ballot. If the question was head to head my guess is that Trump would be over 60% right now.
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To get to 60%, that means 40% of those non Biden (D) scenarios would flip to Trump… which doesn’t make much sense to me.

But it’s semantics. It feels directionally accurate to characterize Trump as a clear favorite at the moment. I hope it gets bad enough that it scares Democrats to take Biden off the ballot and put a better candidate forth.
 
chop2chip said:
To get to 60%, that means 40% of those non Biden (D) scenarios would flip to Trump… which doesn’t make much sense to me.

But it’s semantics. It feels directionally accurate to characterize Trump as a clear favorite at the moment. I hope it gets bad enough that it scares Democrats to take Biden off the ballot and put a better candidate forth.
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I've said it repeatedly so it should be no surprise but they won't do that because those other candidates would do worse nationally against Trump. I think D's see it now as a battle to hold off majorities in both chambers.
 
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