I thin runs will be a problem. When you objectively look at our lineup you will see 5 guys over performing and that would be 6 if you count Kemp. Jace has been about what you would expect in his place. And you have Dansby and Garica under performing. These do things happen throughout the season but I don't think we should expect the lineup to be as good as it has been throughout the entire season.
4/16/17 Happy Bartolo Day - GDT
- Thread starter thethe
- Start date
Way too early to judge offense but it is good to see us scoring runs while Kemp is on the bench. Jace has offered basically nothing (and I would argue worse than nothing as he has 12 LOB in 5 games) as his replacement, so when Kemp comes back, we should see a tick up from now.
Jace has absolutely sucked as a replacement for Kemp. In 5 games as a starter he has a total of 4 hits and 12 LOB. In his 1 PH opportunity he had 1 LOB.
He plays a decent LF but he is no Ender.
If you want to dig deeper...he had 1 good game where he went 2/4 with an RBI, but he still had 4 LOB that game.
Jace may be about what you expect from him, but he's nothing close to what you would expect from Kemp. Kemp killed it for 4 games, but just played in the 4 games, so you can't count LF as over-performing.
Flowers is over-performing. Phillips and Markakis are over-performing, but not by an insane amount. Inciarte is really not over-performing by much; HR up but BA and OBP down so far. And I wouldn't say Freeman is really over-performing at all. This is basically what he is now as a hitter.
Dansby and Garcia are both under-performing by a ton. So overall I really don't think our lineup over-performing. But we've also only scored 45 runs in 11 games, so I don't think that means we have a good offense.
Well yeah. Jace is not a good hitter. I was saying what Jace has done this year is about what you would expect Jace to do...which is suck.
As long as we not face the metz top 3 we will be good. The offense is going real well right now and will only get better with another big bat.
Markakis 147 OPS+, last 3 years 104
Phillips 137 OPS+, last 3 years 94
Ender 113 OPS+, last 2 years 99
Freeman 195 OPS+ last 4 years 145
Even if you want to say that last year is the new Freeman(which I would tend to agree with) he still had a 157 OPS+.
All of these guys are over performing. I would say that Ender is the only one you could expect to sustain and that's if you feel he's starting to hit for more power (which 2 weeks in is still way to early to tell).
Braves team WRC+ is like 5th best in the NL. The offense to date has been good.
The offense since August of last year has been good. When is a thing a thing?
Isn't OPS+ for the Braves going to be at least a little flawed right now because of how little data we have on SunTrust?
And I think our wRC+ will come down. But while we're 5th there, we're 10 in the NL in RS/game. So in terms of pure runs scored, I don't really expect it to go down much, if at all.
a year
bravesfanMatt
Steve Harvey'd
when it fits a narrative.
It could be for sure. I do fully expect SunTrust to be a hitters park just like Fulton County Stadium was instead of the pitchers park that Turner Field was. If we are 10th in runs per game then yeah I think that's where we settle in at. The Braves will be a bottom 3rd of the league offense imo.
Do you expect the hitters that have started off hot this year to continue that way? I mean if you want to go full thethe then that's your prerogative but I try to take the homer glasses off when talking about what I think is going to happen and not what I want to happen. .
Yeah...three games against stud pitchers was enough to proclaim the offense bad.
Well only team WRC+ says the team is good on offense. Actual runs scored has the team as being poor. I think we have to go off of actual runs scored and not WRC+ which is just hypothetical.
Alternatively you could say 'offense will be just fine if we keep playing San Deigo.'
I think its probably going to be a middle of the pack offense, probably a little above average if we can get a healthy season out of Phillips and Kemp.
I agree. Our runs scored are depressed because our second best run producer is hurt. That'll change soon.
I think above average is a good spot. Coupled with better starting pitching and that's a 500 team.
So you would say our offense to date has been below average and not good?
goldfly
<B>if my thought dreams could be seen</B>
lol, no
unfortunately i couldn't help the young man out on his plan to do lines and watch baseball.
i should have sent him to Ron