THERE IT IS! I'm already pleased. Anyone know who this could be?
4. Grant Holmes, RHP
Current Level/Age: SS/18.9, 6’1/215, R/R
Drafted: 22nd overall (1st round) in 2014 out of a South Carolina HS by LA for $2.5 million bonus
Fastball: 55/65, Curveball: 55/60, Changeup: 45/50+, Command: 40/50, FV: 50
Scouting Report: Holmes emerged as a top prep arm in the 2014 class while an underclassman, when he ran his fastball into the mid-90’s. He held that position wire-to-wire regularly hitting the mid-90’s, then getting as high as 100 mph at the beginning of his draft spring. Holmes is maxed-out physically, there’s a little effort to his delivery and his velocity settled at 91-95, hitting 96 mph in most outings, but his feel for pitching and health track record are excellent for his age. In some outings, Holmes will cut his fastball so much that it looks like a separate pitch and could morph into a regularly-used weapon.
Holmes hard, low-80’s curveball flashed 65 in many of his outings last spring and his changeup flashed 55, but not regularly. I’ve hedged a bit here given the risks with prep arms, but Holmes had the best combination of now stuff and feel in the draft, even ahead of #2 overall pick Marlins RHP Tyler Kolek. If the 100 mph version of Holmes from the early spring comes back, he could be a top 10 prospect in baseball, but the above-average-across-the-board version that we see more often still offers a solid mid-rotation upside.
Summation: Holmes could perform well enough to warrant be a quick mover, but it’s unclear how the new Dodger regime will handle prep arms. He’ll start in Low-A and I’d guess he spends the whole year there, but could either skip High-A or get a quick Double-A promotion in 2016 if all goes to plan
FV/Role/Risk: 50, #4 starter, Medium (3 on 1-5 scale)
Projected Path: 2015: Low-A, 2016: High-A/AA, 2017: AA/AAA, 2018: AAA/MLB