Economics Thread

sturg33 said:
I just dont know what to argue with you anymore. Its clear there is no data that will change your mind. You are a zealot for whatever the admin does

The data is crystal clear. You can look at the timeline and the policy aligning to specific price increases.

AND, as a reminder, Trump only followed through with about half the tarrifs he promised.

AND AND he has already pulled back on some of them because he ADMITTED its causing price increases.

This is just math. You can argue its good for other things but you cant argue it doesnt impact prices. Its just math
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So inflation? Can you separate this from tariff impact?

And a graph with a small timeframe to mask any other trends.
 
thethe said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/2001648498165395503

The narrative is quickly going to shift to yeah the economy is doing great but it could be doing better without trumps stupid tariffs.

But in reality the consumer is paying little to nothing of the tariffs. It’s primarily the suppliers as I’ve said from day 1. Eventually you guys will eat crow on that one. Maybe aces will post another meaningless cropped graph instead.
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What graph?
 
The elephant in the room is that even if you accept the most optimistic views of the effects of the tariffs on inflation, the data is pretty clearly showing that companies are offsetting some of those increased costs by not hiring people?
 
mqt said:
The elephant in the room is that even if you accept the most optimistic views of the effects of the tariffs on inflation, the data is pretty clearly showing that companies are offsetting some of those increased costs by not hiring people?
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Or companies aren’t hiring entry level people anymore because of other efficiencies created by new technology.

Even still Americans are getting jobs b
 
thethe said:
Or companies aren’t hiring entry level people anymore because of other efficiencies created by new technology.

Even still Americans are getting jobs b
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So the *exact* point at which AI was able to start destroying all the jobs was liberation day? Convenient timing.
 
mqt said:
So the *exact* point at which AI was able to start destroying all the jobs was liberation day? Convenient timing.
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Whose jobs are being destroyed?

And yes - AI agent adoption has expanded tremendously the last six months. That’s indisputable b
 
thethe said:
Whose jobs are being destroyed?

And yes - AI agent adoption has expanded tremendously the last six months. That’s indisputable b
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Did the technology improve dramatically in the past 6 months or did companies decide that the risks were more worth it due to budgetary concerns brought on by soaring costs?
 
mqt said:
Did the technology improve dramatically in the past 6 months or did companies decide that the risks were more worth it due to budgetary concerns brought on by soaring costs?
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What? Absolutely it did. The rate of improvement is accelerating tremendously.i had the pleasure of sitting in on one of these calls sponsored by one of the largest PE firms in the world. You wouldn’t believe what companies are doing right now.
 
As a long time supporter of tariffs, it sucks to see any hope of them ever being used wisely set on fire because Trump decided to implement them by putting on a blindfold and throwing darts.
 
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