Economics Thread

I wonder reflections BL will make if the economy does indeed take off ?

Will he learn or just go start 50 random threads no one will look at to bury his takes ?
 
Tapate50 said:
I wonder reflections BL will make if the economy does indeed take off ?

Will he learn or just go start 50 random threads no one will look at to bury his takes ?
Click to expand...
I think GDP will grow faster in 2026 than it did in 2025. Most of the negative impact from tariffs (on growth and inflation) played out in 2025. So 2026 should be better with respect to GDP growth and core inflation.
 
thethe said:
He will find some way to ignore it. He won’t be alone though.
Click to expand...
Youre the guy who takes multi month vacations while the headlines are particularly brutal

The reality is... any counter argument or data point you simply dismiss as not real, and any headline you like is the "proof" you require. I have grown tired of the dynamic as im just arguing with a brick wall
 
sturg33 said:
Youre the guy who takes multi month vacations while the headlines are particularly brutal

The reality is... any counter argument or data point you simply dismiss as not real, and any headline you like is the "proof" you require. I have grown tired of the dynamic as im just arguing with a brick wall
Click to expand...
I said repeatedly 25 was a transition year. I said repeatedly tariffs aren’t burdened primarily by the consumer.

I’m sorry I’m right more often than not becuse you know we are looking at an economy ready to take off in 26 as I said.

Y’all were wrong. Admit it and let’s move on
 
thethe said:
I said repeatedly 25 was a transition year. I said repeatedly tariffs aren’t burdened primarily by the consumer.

I’m sorry I’m right more often than not becuse you know we are looking at an economy ready to take off in 26 as I said.

Y’all were wrong. Admit it and let’s move on
Click to expand...
I still do not know what metrics you are evaluating to define what a "golden age" is.
 
nsacpi said:
I think GDP will grow faster in 2026 than it did in 2025. Most of the negative impact from tariffs (on growth and inflation) played out in 2025. So 2026 should be better with respect to GDP growth and core inflation.
Click to expand...
And it will continue on into 27.

Nice to have a roaring economy right before midterms.
 
thethe said:
Real wage growth.

Affordability of housing.

Job growth

Some we are seeing now and some are setup in 26 to take off.
Click to expand...
Ok great so what targets are required to be considered "golden age"

Is there a historical year we should compare to? Or are you predicting something we've never seen (i.e. records)
 
sturg33 said:
Ok great so what targets are required to be considered "golden age"

Is there a historical year we should compare to? Or are you predicting something we've never seen (i.e. records)
Click to expand...
No - it just needs to trend continually in a positive direction. Globalism destroyed the country for decades. This doesn’t get fixed in one year but it does improve.
 
If we see faster growth in 2026 than in 2025 because most of the negative impact of the tariffs hit in 2025, I wouldn't be taking a victory lap. The level of economic activity is on a permanently lower trajectory.
 
nsacpi said:
If we see faster growth in 2026 than in 2025 because most of the negative impact of the tariffs hit in 2025, I wouldn't be taking a victory lap. The level of economic activity is on a permanently lower trajectory.
Click to expand...
Productivity is going to massively spike. Shelter costs are dropping. Real wages are increasing. Investments are starting to be realized in pp&e while the tax laws start to incentivize more of this investment while giving massive rebates back to consumers.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top