Extending Swanson and Albies

[thewupk]

So they were virtually identical in their first 125-145 PAs. Thanks

Except one of them was lucky and headed for obvious regression where the other one hasn't been so far. Yup. Virtually identical.

 

[msstate7]

Except one of them was lucky and headed for obvious regression where the other one hasn't been so far. Yup. Virtually identical.

Guess so. Beware then... Albies last 100 PAs, his BABIP is .375.

 

[thewupk]

Guess so. Beware then... Albies last 100 PAs, his BABIP is .375.

You are right. I wouldn't expect an 850 OPS from him right now either.

 

[msstate7]

You are right. I wouldn't expect an 850 OPS from him right now either.

You literally just said Albies hasn't been lucky.

I expect both to be round .775-815 ops and 3-3.5 war next season

 

[thewupk]

You literally just said Albies hasn't been lucky.

I expect both to be round .775-815 ops and 3-3.5 war next season

Overall on the season he hasn't been. The 850 OPS is what he's had over his last 100 ABs with the high BABIP that you referenced.

 

[nsacpi]

You literally just said Albies hasn't been lucky.

I expect both to be round .775-815 ops and 3-3.5 war next season

can I have the under .800 for both

 

[msstate7]

can I have the under .800 for both

I'll give you the under .775 on Swanson. I'm not ready to say .800 on either... just round .800

 

[nsacpi]

I'll give you the under .775 on Swanson. I'm not ready to say .800 on either... just round .800

done

 

[msstate7]

done

We'll figure out the terms by opener '18

 

[nsacpi]

We'll figure out the terms by opener '18

yup

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Honestly, I would throw away September stats period, because since it has September call ups involved that may be AAAA it can skew stats.

 

[Heyward]

Albies might be easier to sign since he hasnt made a lot of money yet. Same goes for Acuna.

If Swanson has a big year in 2018-19, he'll be more expensive to try and keep.

 

[Enscheff]

Albies might be easier to sign since he hasnt made a lot of money yet. Same goes for Acuna.

If Swanson has a big year in 2018-19, he'll be more expensive to try and keep.

Agreed. Fewer and fewer good/great players have been signing extensions the last ~5 seasons as players and agents have wised up on how much money they have been leaving on the table.

Doing these extensions early may be the only way the Braves get either to sign.

 

[50PoundHead]

Honestly, I would throw away September stats period, because since it has September call ups involved that may be AAAA it can skew stats.

I put very little stock in September stats, especially in games that don't involve contenders. If there has been a big upside in free agency it's that a lot of veterans continue to play for the bottom line, but there's still a lot of relative sleepwalking going on. Pre-free agency, calling it sleepwalking would have been generous.

 

[NinersSBChamps]

How is that Dansby hitting .240 going enscheff?

 

[nsacpi]

Swanson has produced 1.1 fWAR in a years worth of games in his career. 10 million a year for 1 WAR is going to be a bargain on the back half of that 10 year contract

down to .9

I'm fine with extenting him to a deal that values him as a 1 WAR player

 

[nsacpi]

Obviously Albies. He's probably a little better prepared since he had 695 PA in AAA before taking an MLB AB.

I'm not trying to turn this into a competition of the two. I love them both. I do think the Swanson we see of late is much closer to the real Swanson.

He may get .700 outright BTW

.663 since our bet

.630 in September, not exactly a strong finish

 

[Enscheff]

.663 since our bet

.630 in September, not exactly a strong finish

Sounds like Jack Wilson.

 

[msstate7]

.663 since our bet

.630 in September, not exactly a strong finish

Yep, I'm done

 

[nsacpi]

Yep, I'm done

I give you a choice regarding fulfilling the bet. The original: ole miss avatar. Or Swanson Sucks signature. This one is mean. Especially since you seem to like him so much. But I have a sadistic streak. Your choice.