GDT: 11/3/20, Election Day, Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph R. Biden

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I think my question is valid?

Why would counting votes just magically seem to stop?

I want them counted too. Whats taking so long?
 
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““Will it take months? Probably not. Could it take weeks? Probably,” said Jennifer Morrell, a member of the National Task Force on Election Crises.

Morrell ran elections in Utah and Colorado. Now, she’s helping in Pennsylvania and says checking ballots takes longer than one would think.


“Open a ballot, take out an envelope, open it again, remove a piece of paper, unfold it, flatten it and get it ready for scanning. Then take that and times that by thousands or hundreds of thousands and you start to get an idea of the amount of time it requires to do something that - on its face sounds really simple, right? Taking a ballot out of an envelope, is often the thing that takes the most time,” said Morrell.”

Direct link and from fox news: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/critical-swing-states-longer-count-mail-in-ballots
 
Wow, Biden up 0.2 in WI, 0.6 in NV and 2 points down in GA with 92% reporting with NY times giving Biden 64% chance to win GA. PA lead does look insurmountable. I give Biden a slightly better than 50% chance of victory at this point.
 
I say 60/40 Trump wins. Though it seems like Biden needs only 1 of GA/MI to win if he can hold NV and WI.
 
cajunrevenge said:
Wow, Biden up 0.2 in WI, 0.6 in NV and 2 points down in GA with 92% reporting with NY times giving Biden 64% chance to win GA. PA lead does look insurmountable. I give Biden a slightly better than 50% chance of victory at this point.
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Looks like brown, pierce, Richland, and Kenosha are left in Wisconsin, which all favor trump. What's NYT's probability on Wisconsin?
 
msstate7 said:
Looks like brown, pierce, Richland, and Kenosha are left in Wisconsin, which all favor trump. What's NYT's probability on Wisconsin?
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Those counties are all awaiting absentee-mail-in votes.

In the rust belt states, pretty much all turnout/same-day votes are in.
 
cajunrevenge said:
Wow, Biden up 0.2 in WI, 0.6 in NV and 2 points down in GA with 92% reporting with NY times giving Biden 64% chance to win GA. PA lead does look insurmountable. I give Biden a slightly better than 50% chance of victory at this point.
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I'm not sure about Georgia, yet, even being from here.

Biden is already cleaning house in Fulton and Dekalb, and winning Cobb. Not sure which votes still need to be counted other than the absentee ballots in Fulton.
 
sturg33 said:
I think my question is valid?

Why would counting votes just magically seem to stop?

I want them counted too. Whats taking so long?
Click to expand...

Know the rules

In PA they couldn't count absentee ballots until the polls closed.

What we're seeing here is a change in how people are voting and many places not being able to handle it. If instead we could have those votes recorded as they came in, we would have results much sooner.
 
Judge Sullivan ordering DeJoy and USPS to "discuss" their refusal to sweep post offices for ballots. I wont be surprised of DeJoy just no shows and dares the judge to do something about it. Spoiler, he wont.
 
sturg33 said:
I think my question is valid?

Why would counting votes just magically seem to stop?

I want them counted too. Whats taking so long?
Click to expand...

I actually think we all know the answer. I doubt anyone on team-D is willing to admit it. Most on this board approve of the activity and therefore it's a non-issue to them.
 
Bidens lead in WI after green bay's totals are reported. Kenosha absentee ballots are the last major block not reported in Wisconsin.
 
The Chosen One said:
I'm not sure about Georgia, yet, even being from here.

Biden is already cleaning house in Fulton and Dekalb, and winning Cobb. Not sure which votes still need to be counted other than the absentee ballots in Fulton.
Click to expand...




After seeing how OH went down I am not so certain about assuming blue counties with votes left to count will break down heavily for Biden.
 
So far nearly 3 million more people voted for Biden than Trump. It looks like Biden will have more votes than Trump even compared to Hillary.
 
Nate Cohen says Trump up 700k in PA with more than 1.4 million absentee ballots left to count. Says the remaining ballots left in WI/MI/PA mail in ballots expected to heavily favor Democrats. He says this looks a lot like 2016 but in reverse.
 
I think a lot of polls need toake fundamental changes in how they're conducted. No matter who wins they were badly, badly off.
 
Well the issue seems to be Trump fans don't want to answer the polls which kind of makes their complaints about the polls retarded. Dont complain about them if you dont want to participate in them. Biden showing big leads is likely helping Trump motivate his voters not suppress them. How the f are they supposed to compensate for that other than guessing.
 
Wisconsin now 92% reporting with Biden up 0.7. Michigan Trump now up only 0.5 with 86% reporting. Both trending very strongly for Biden. Not looking good for Trump. I feel better about those 2 states than Nevada. I would put my needle at 55% Biden wins and approaching 60%.
 
Biden between a -230 and -330 favorite now depending on the betting shop.

I’m sticking with my prediction that he ends up winning

There was a lot of money to be made live betting the dog...could’ve guaranteed profit
 
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