No. It's right. We are 1-2 in 1 run games. 1 was the because of the error in Elders start. The other was an extra innings game. We scored in the 9th. Very well could have scored more there. So we really were very close to being that expected record.
Your expected to be around 500 in 1 run games. The 17-2, 13-1, and 9-0 wins are going to skew the expected W/L this early in the season. Cut each of those run totals in half for those games and the Braves still win comfortable but the expected wins go down to a little over 16 wins. Over 162 this is going to even out because eventually the Braves are going to be on the wrong side of some blowouts.