GDT 4/23- The Legend of JR Ritchie (and Harris= George and Weezy)

thewupk said:
Albies may not have become the hitter that some wanted him to be. But it's hard to be upset about the player he's been for the Braves.
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That’s my issue with Albies. He has/had a grade 70 hit tool, and everyone thought he’d be some slap hitting infielder. Then he developed grade 50 power as a LHH and grade 60+ power as a RHH. Then he just refused to develop anything resembling a professional approach at the plate, so it feels like he wasted those tools.

Albies should be very similar to Jose Ramirez. The fact he’s not is the cause of my bitterness towards him.
 
Best record in baseball…. Is kinda’ solid.

JR Ritchie is kinda’ solid too.

May as well go win another series against the unclean this weekend.
 
It's April 23 and the Mets are 8.5 back from us and the Phil's are 9.5 back.

The only other team in the NL East with a positive run differential is the Fish with a +2.

Our run differential is +62.

We are outscoring our next closet competitor by 60 runs.

This is insane.
 
The Fish, the only other team with a positive run differential in the NL East, are at +2. Over 162 games at that rate they're looking at a +13.

We're on pace for a +386 run differential.

This won't keep up. Last year the highest run differential was +172. We're not going to double last year's best run differential. But it should show just how hot our start has been.
 
Sticking this here to compare against the data from his debut. He showed 4 above average pitches and 2 average pitches in ST, and the curve was really good. A very deep arsenal full of quality MLB pitches.

Enscheff said:
Here's what the statcast data says about Ritchie's stuff:

CU: 82.0 mph, 14.5" glove, -12.8" rise
This pitch has above average horizontal (2025 MLB avg 9.2") and vertical (2025 MLB avg -10.1"). This is easily a plus or better pitch, and it was clearly his best pitch based on the eye test.

CH: 88.3 mph, 12.4" arm, -0.4" rise
This pitch is a little too firm compared to the sinker, has below average run (2025 MLB avg 14.4"), but above average sink (2025 MLB avg +4.5"). Average pitch overall with room to improve.

SI: 94.8 mph, 14.9" arm, 5.6" rise
Above average velocity (2025 MLB avg 93.8), average run (2025 MLB avg 15.2"), and above average sink (2025 MLB avg 7.5"). This is another above average pitch.

FC: 90.7 mph, 1.9" glove, 7.9" rise
Above average velocity (2025 MLB avg 89.7), average glove-side movement (2025 MLB avg 2.1"), and average rise (2025 MLB avg 8.2"). Yet another above average pitch.

FF: 95.9 mph, 5.1" arm, 15.6" rise
Above average velocity (2025 MLB avg 94.5), below average run (2025 MLB avg 7.8"), average rise (2025 MLB avg 15.8"). An average pitch, much better than I assumed.

SL: 82.9 mph, 14.8" glove, -2.4" rise
Very slow (2025 MLB avg 86.1), massive glove-side movement (2025 MLB avg 4.5"), and great sink (2025 MLB avg 1.8"). This is more like a quality sweeper with some sink.

So overall he has a great curve, an above average cutter, sinker and sweeper (I would not call it a slider), and an average 4 seamer and change. I suspect the change will improve as he gains feel to lighten up on it a bit. These sample sizes are tiny, but calling him "Schwelly-lite" seems very accurate, and he certainly has potential to be a MOR guy if the command/execution pans out and he holds his velocity.
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striker42 said:
It's April 23 and the Mets are 8.5 back from us and the Phil's are 9.5 back.

The only other team in the NL East with a positive run differential is the Fish with a +2.

Our run differential is +62.

We are outscoring our next closet competitor by 60 runs.

This is insane.
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Kim, Strider, and Murphy are almost back too
 
Here's what the Statcast data says about Ritchie's stuff last night compared to his ST start:

Spring - CU: 82.0 mph, 14.5" glove, -12.8" rise
Debut - CU: 82.4 mph, 12.7" glove, -11.2" rise
MLB avg 9.2" and -10.1". His best pitch took a step back since Spring, but it's still plus. We know the plus-plus pitch is in there, so hopefully he can make the tweaks to get back the extra movement.

Spring - CH: 88.3 mph, 12.4" arm, -0.4" rise
Debut - CH: 87.9 mph, 14.6" arm, -0.1" rise
MLB avg 14.4"and avg +4.5". He added some more arm-side run, and this pitch is better than in Spring. This pitch is now above average or better.

Spring - SI: 94.8 mph, 14.9" arm, 5.6" rise
Debut - SI: 92.4 mph, 15.9" arm, 2.1" rise
MLB avg 93.8, 15.2", and 7.5". He lost 2 ticks, added even more movement, but only threw it 2 times. Hopefully the lost velocity isn't all over his arsenal, but this is still a usable pitch.

Spring - FC: 90.7 mph, 1.9" glove, 7.9" rise
Debut - FC: 91.7 mph, 2.5" arm, 8.6" rise
MLB avg 89.7, 2.1" glove, and 8.2". He improved the velocity, but lost the cut action on his cutter. It literally doesn't cut now. Needless to say, that's not ideal. He needs to get those 4-5" of glove-side back.

Spring - FF: 95.9 mph, 5.1" arm, 15.6" rise
Debut - FF: 94.4 mph, 10.4" arm, 13.9" rise
MLB avg 94.5, 7.8", and 15.8". This is a completely different 4-seamer, with completely different shape. Something happened between Spring and today.

Spring - SL: 82.9 mph, 14.8" glove, -2.4" rise
Debut - SL: 84.8 mph, 2.8" glove, 1.5" rise
MLB avg 86.1, 4.5", and 1.8". What happened? Why can't Ritchie get glove-side movement anymore? I double checked the Statcast data from Spring (they reclassified it as a sweeper like I suggested), and it did have 14.9" of glove-side that vanished over the course of 1 month. Someone is not doing their job.

So his CU, FC and FF took steps back since Spring (it could be debated the FF is different, not worse). His SL/Sweeper doesn't really break anymore. He's lost ~2 mph of velocity. The CH has improved a little. This isn't the #3 we saw in Spring that looked like Schwelly-lite. This is a 4/5 who throws tons of mediocre pitches at a lineup hoping they don't tag him. He needs to find that missing velocity and glove-side movement, or he won't be an impact arm. Someone in the pitching dev group needs to wake up and fix him.
 
Slippyjms said:
I have yet to hear anything about a roster move. I’m really starting to think Ritchie is gonna get a second start.
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I think your likely right. Strider should have his last rehab start on Tuesday so I imagine Ritchie getting his 2nd start and then sent down for pen help until Strider comes back on hopefully May 3rd or so.
 
thewupk said:
I think your likely right. Strider should have his last rehab start on Tuesday so I imagine Ritchie getting his 2nd start and then sent down for pen help until Strider comes back on hopefully May 3rd or so.
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Very likely, I think, especially with Ritchie’s pen-saving 7 IP and Carrasco only pitching one inning and thus available for bulk if needed in the coming days.
 
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