I think 2022 is what you should be looking at. That team was 4 games under .500 and 11 games back on June 1 and ended up overtaking a 100 win team to win the division.
That 2021 team gets propped up because of the ending, and they were a good team, but they benefited from a weak division. That team doesn’t even make the playoffs in 2019, 2022 or 2024.
Not saying this team will go scorched Earth like 2022 after May, because that doesn’t look realistic at all right now, but that’s the hope of Braves’ past that you should be clinging to.