Since June 13, when we ended that terrible rut we were in, we are 18-12, good for a .60 winning percentage (97 win pace). Our overall record is 53-42, good for a .5578 winning percentage (90 win pace). Without Strider, Acuna and Harris, I think a 90-97 win team is closer to the true caliber of team we are, based on the talent we have.
Harris coming back should give us a nice boon, putting us closer to the top end of that 90-97 win spectrum. Can 97 wins get us the division? Probably not, but the gap would be really close. Philly is currently on a 104 win pace and their schedule after the break is pretty brutal. It's doubtful that they maintain a 104 win pace. I think they end up somewhere between 98-101 wins. And that assumes they remain mostly healthy. They've been surprisingly healthy given how relatively old their core is.