GDT 8/5/2021 Braves @ Cardinals - Leaving Mediocrity in the Rearview Mirror

O

Ozzie Swanson

Well-known member
Time to keep the good vibes rolling and for our Braves to cross the .500 mark for the first time this season. Mets just lost to the Marlins (highlighted by Javy Báez earning himself a platinum sombrero) so there’s a chance to get within 1.5 games back heading into the next series with the Gnats. In other news, Ian Anderson is starting his rehab assignment in Gwinnett tonight so we can likely expect to have him and D’Arnaud back relatively soon.

Braves
1. Albies 2B
2. Soler RF
3. Freeman 1B
4. Riley 3B
5. Swanson SS
6. Duvall LF
7. Pederson CF
8. Smith C
9. Toussaint P

Cardinals
1. Carlson RF
2. Goldschmidt 1B
3. Arenado 3B
4. O’Neill LF
5. Carpenter 2B
6. Bader CF
7. DeJong SS
8. Knizner C
9. LeBlanc P
 
Braves preparing to make another run at getting over .500 -

[video]https://external-preview.redd.it/yzicuvocEV0I_3BGsII0rDczDenhGlMDbKfYRIyVigY.gif?fo rmat=mp4&cd77241c[/video]
 
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This is the 8th time the Braves have had an even record (including 0-0), and in every occasion they have lost the next two games, and have done no better than 1-3 in the 4 games following. They broke one streak last night, let's hope they break another tonight.
 
Mets now fly to play the Phillies for 3. Then have a day off before playing. 3 vs the gNats, 3 vs Dodgers, 3 @ San Francisco. 4 @ Dodgers, day off, 3 vs San Francisco

That is a buzz saw
 
I mentioned a version of this lineup the day of the deadline, and would love to see it shake out with Dansby dropping to 6th or 8th (even against RHPs) when d'Arnaud and Rosario are back. Go to generally strict platoons on the corners with Heredia replacing Pederson defensively late (he could slide over to RF to get Soler out of there). I really like the thought of Freeman as "protection" for Soler, Pederson as "protection" for Riley, Duvall/Rosario as "protection" for Dansby or d'Arnaud.

That would give you Dansby/d'Arnaud/Vogt hitting in front of the Pitcher's spot and should make Snitker and Chip happy since the bottom would have a much better chance to feed the top.
 
Mets lost to the Marlins.

Phillies losing 2-5 to the Nationals in the 5th.

What a great day it could be.
 
bravesfanforlife88 said:
Mets now fly to play the Phillies for 3. Then have a day off before playing. 3 vs the gNats, 3 vs Dodgers, 3 @ San Francisco. 4 @ Dodgers, day off, 3 vs San Francisco

That is a buzz saw
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Yikes. Might should pull for Mets to win 2 of 3 this weekend. They'll lose plenty in that SF dodger run
 
bravesfanforlife88 said:
For comparison, the Phillies have 3 vs the Mets, 3 vs the Dodgers, 3 vs the Reds, 3 @ Arizona, 3 @ San Diego, 2 vs Tampa Bay
Click to expand...

phils look to have the easiest schedule moving forward.

Honestly it's up to the braves to play 555 ball. I'd say true talent is more like 525 right now, with maybe some upside if Anderson and TDA come back.

If they play like they are capable then they should win. Phils and Mets look like 500 teams to me. Hopefully Mets sequencing luck stops and we get some luck back.
 
Russ2dollas said:
phils look to have the easiest schedule moving forward.

Honestly it's up to the braves to play 555 ball. I'd say true talent is more like 525 right now, with maybe some upside if Anderson and TDA come back.

If they play like they are capable then they should win. Phils and Mets look like 500 teams to me. Hopefully Mets sequencing luck stops and we get some luck back.
Click to expand...

Braves and Phillies have virtually the same strength of schedule remaining. Remaining Braves opponents have a 481 win % while the Phillies are 480. 504 for the Mets.

Braves playoff odds per Fangraphs is now at 23%. 44% for the Mets and 32% for the Phillies. At this point it's honestly a toss up between the three teams. Funny that the Phillies are performing pretty much as expected and it might net them the division. Mets and Braves are sucking it up for various reasons.
 
msstate7 said:
Yikes. Might should pull for Mets to win 2 of 3 this weekend. They'll lose plenty in that SF dodger run
Click to expand...

Phillies will lose tonight and tomorrow. They have been 11-11, 22-22, 33-33, 44-44, and now are 55-53. They are as mediocre as the Braves are.
 
thewupk said:
Braves and Phillies have virtually the same strength of schedule remaining. Remaining Braves opponents have a 481 win % while the Phillies are 480. 504 for the Mets.

Braves playoff odds per Fangraphs is now at 23%. 44% for the Mets and 32% for the Phillies. At this point it's honestly a toss up between the three teams. Funny that the Phillies are performing pretty much as expected and it might net them the division. Mets and Braves are sucking it up for various reasons.
Click to expand...

538 currently has the Braves at 36% to make the playoffs, Phillies at 34% and Mets at 32%. They update after every game.
 
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