MONDAY MINORS THREAD 9/4: And so it ends ...

Acuna and Riley are definitely the prospects I'm most excited about right now. Fried still counts and is right there with them
 
msstate7 said:
LD% is 23.2. Thats gotta help BABIP, right?
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Indeed. However using his batted ball data gives him an expected BABIP of 312. I will say that the only data that we don't have for him is 'hard contact' and I simply applied the league average for that. So giving him the benefit of the doubt and say he hits the ball harder than average average could see that bumped up into the 320 range. Take that for what it's worth.
 
Oklahomabrave said:
Austin Riley is one of our guys that it might be a good idea to sell "high" on this offseason if he can be a decent portion of a trade.
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I'm selling on almost anyone for the right offer. Riley has excelled at every level and is young for his age. I wouldnt include him as filler.
 
thethe said:
I'm selling on almost anyone for the right offer. Riley has excelled at every level and is young for his age. I wouldnt include him as filler.
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No I definitely wouldn't as filler. That's what I meant by decent portion of a trade. If he can be the position player included to get a 3b/Sp/C/Or OF on the off chance we can unload both Kemp and Markakis.
 
Enscheff said:
.390 BABIP at AA.

It's literally the same thing over and over every time a prospect has a good month.
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someonewrongoninternet.jpg
 
thewupk said:
Indeed. However using his batted ball data gives him an expected BABIP of 312. I will say that the only data that we don't have for him is 'hard contact' and I simply applied the league average for that. So giving him the benefit of the doubt and say he hits the ball harder than average average could see that bumped up into the 320 range. Take that for what it's worth.
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I know I keep asking you this every month or so, but I keep forgetting your answer.

Are you using an online calculator for this, or do you have an equation plugged into a spreadsheet?
 
Oklahomabrave said:
Austin Riley is one of our guys that it might be a good idea to sell "high" on this offseason if he can be a decent portion of a trade.
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If we decided to make a big trade I could see Riley being part of the package. Young power hitters take some patience, and with Matian the likely 3B of the future Austin could be expendable in the right deal.
 
thewupk said:
Indeed. However using his batted ball data gives him an expected BABIP of 312. I will say that the only data that we don't have for him is 'hard contact' and I simply applied the league average for that. So giving him the benefit of the doubt and say he hits the ball harder than average average could see that bumped up into the 320 range. Take that for what it's worth.
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What's his babip over both levels this year?
 
Enscheff said:
You haven't figured it out yet? If they win it's the best thing ever and a sign of great things to come. If they lose it's no big deal.

Because...pozzy Barve.
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Or...last year it was fun when Rome won. This year it matters just as much as last year, which was none. Sometimes sports are allowed to be fun.
 
And on Riley, just for the record, but I understand his success is BABIP-influenced. I think everyone does. And I don't see him able to sustain as high a BABIP as Acuna, just for the record.

I will say again, though, that players are generally able to sustain a higher BABIP in the minors than in the majors. Riley's true minor-league BABIP is nowhere close to .390, however. The primary reasons for optimism based on his time in Mississippi are the higher walk rate and the increase in ISO. And simply the fact that he's been able to hold his own there.
 
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