Manhattan has 1.6 million people and has lost 3,105 so far. My roommate freshman year of college lives in Manhattan with his family. He was essentially trapped in his apartment for 65 days (he escaped to the Hamptons - tough life). I kept checking the deaths of individuals under 65 with no preexisting condition. At last check, probably a month ago, Manhattan had less than 25 deaths of individuals under 65 without a known preexisting condition as a result of CV-19. That number was less than the number of individuals shot to death in Manhattan during the same time period... I checked. Is it a legitimate use of police power to lock up a family of four (two girls 3 and 6) to protect them from the CV-19 threat? That likely should be moved to another thread. I believe there is ample evidence the massive death rate in NY is because Cuomo put positive cases in nursing homes believing free space in hospitals was imperative for the cases yet to come. They turned the convention center into a hospital and brought in red cross ships but the wave of hospitalizations anticipated by the experts never materialized. Meanwhile the virus ran through nursing homes housing the most at risk segments of the NY population. I'm not blaming Cuomo. He made a call based upon the information and expert opinions given to him. It likely was a bad call in hindsight. That could also likely go in another thread.
But the issue is not whether NY's lockdown was legitimate, or why is NY death rate so high, it is whether lock downs are the answer to CV-19. The comparison of NY to Florida is because one state lock down and stayed that way and the other reopened. If lock downs were the answer to CV-19, why is Florida's death rate low in comparison to other states that imposed lock downs? It could be the population density of NY as you suggest. Miami (while still one of the most densely populated areas in the US) has only half the population density of NYC (about 2.8 million people in Dade County and only 1,000 CV-19 deaths - 1/3 of Manhattan though it has more than 1 million more people). Still, if a lock down was the way to stop the spread of CV-19, when everyone is relegated to their homes (singing form their balconies and whatnot) the population density argument should be nullified unless homes being vertically integrated (high rise) instead of horizontally integrated (track), results in higher transmission. If that is the case, we should be seeing a "sick building" effect in NYC. We haven't heard of that to this point.
Why lock the thread and move it. The thread is about a player choosing not to play preemptively because of fear of CV-19. Discussion about the reasonableness of the players fear of reopening increasing CV-19 is relevant to the discussion.