NL Rookie of the Year Watch

[chop2chip]

I still don't think Horton has that big of a lead. Being a playoff team should have 0 bearing on votes and I'd be saying that if the situation was reversed also. Baldwin has been getting hot so things could change quick.

it’s over

 

[msstate7]

it’s over

At baldwin's current rate, yeah. He has 10 games, and if the betting odds mean anything, we've saw that small samples make big changes.

 

[chop2chip]

At baldwin's current rate, yeah. He has 10 games, and if the betting odds mean anything, we've saw that small samples make big changes.

I just don’t think Baldwin’s been impressive enough to get people overlook a 2.60 ERA in 120 innings.

I’d easily rather have Baldwin over Horton long term though and that’s what matters most

 

[msstate7]

I just don’t think Baldwin’s been impressive enough to get people overlook a 2.60 ERA in 120 innings.

I’d easily rather have Baldwin over Horton long term though and that’s what matters most

20 HRs
.800 ops
3.0 fWAR

This is what he needs to give himself a good shot imo. That's gonna require one hell of a 10 game run.

ETA... fWIW, Baldwin has a lead in fWAr and bWAR

 

[Tapate50]

Horton with a .96 era the second half.

DAYUM

 

[msstate7]

Horton with a .96 era the second half.

DAYUM

2nd half babip of .198
Hr/fb% of 2.9
LOB% 92.8

 

[bravesfanMatt]

2nd half babip of .198
Hr/fb% of 2.9
LOB% 92.8

He faced Col and the Braves twice and then the Pirates.. dude has had cake walk offenses to pitch to.

 

[CyYoung31]

Yeah, if Horton wins it that’s some trash. If he had manage to do this over a full season it would be different.

 

[msstate7]

Assuming he pitches normal schedule, his next 2 starts are at reds and Mets:

 

[Enscheff]

To qualify for any MLB leaderboards a pitcher needs 162 innings and a hitter needs 502 PAs.

Baldwin is at 401 PAs, or ~80% towards being qualified.

Horton is at 115 innings, or ~71% towards being qualified.

Voters have historically favored RoY players who have played a full season if things are close, but neither player is going to qualify for any leaderboards, so it's a tough argument to make in Baldwin's favor.

Having said that, I still give the award to the catcher who's been in MLB since opening day over the SP who can't strike anyone out. However, if Baldwin keeps backsliding for the next 2 weeks he won't deserve it. His .506 OPS this month has really hurt his chances.