Owners have just offered $615k for rookies, $650k for guys with 1+ years of service, and $700k for guys with 2+ years of service. This is getting very close to the sliding scale I suggested, and I take it as a good sign negotiations are making progress. If they settle on 650/700/750, I think that's a good spot. This will also indirectly boost arbitration salaries.
Owners have also dropped the idea of killing Super-2 eligibility, and any attempt at delaying arbitration in any way. This is also a good sign that negotiations are moving.
Owners have agreed to a centrally funded pool of money to be awarded to pre-arb players for awards, WAR totals, or whatever other metrics they cook up. They are now arguing over the size of this pool....owners want $10M, players want $105M. Yet another good sign the owners are making concessions, and this is just a number to be negotiated rather than a philosophical sticking point. More money to younger players is what the MLBPA wanted...this is now happening.
Owners are undoubtedly making these concessions so they can get expanded playoffs, which is pretty clearly their top priority. The extra revenue from those additional games will be massive, so the players would do well to squeeze as much out of the owners as possible before agreeing to more playoffs.
This is the progress made in the last 24 hours, so I am optimistic no regular season games will be missed.