Remember Kyle Lewis?

striker42 said:
His defense looks pretty decent. If he can be a decent CF, provide some pop, and hold his own with a hit tool he'll be a very nice piece for the Mariners. Whether he'll be a star with the bat is something the jury is still out on. It is, however, far easier to predict that he'll be a valuable CF.
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Interesting way to look at this since the OP is touting his unbelievable ability to project the future. Say we took the players Seattle took...

Are you really better off moving Lewis to a corner (he certainly never would displace Pache), and getting Joe Rizzo in the 2nd round than coming away with Anderson, Wentz, and Muller???

Would guess it all boils down to whether you think Lewis winds up being a better player than Waters in the long run AND whether you could trade Waters for a pair of better pitching prospects than Anderson and Muller - you wouldn't keep all 3 of those OFs with Acuna on the roster.

I personally preferred Lewis at the time (in part because he was a small-school hero that ate my alma mater alive), but certainly don't see the need to crow about anything just yet - we've all seen what happened once Pitchers got the book on Riley, and given the inevitable move to the universal DH along with the potential opportunity to use Openers and/or piggyback the big-time arms we've stockpiled it's pretty hard to say I'd rather have Lewis by himself given the state of our system.
 
Carp said:
I never said it was your entire argument. But you've put quite a bit of emphasis in this thread on his first 7 games this year, and that is dumb. You literally said:

"So you are contending 7 games is a meaningless sample size?"


YES! 7 games is completely meaningless. The fact that you can't comprehend this is honestly astonishing.
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7 games is not meaningless.
 
A 7 game sample is completely meaningless in every way. It's like...25-30 PAs max?

https://library.fangraphs.com/princ...e over time,stabilize, it becomes more stable.

“Stabilization” Points for Offense Statistics:

60 PA: Strikeout rate
120 PA: Walk rate
240 PA: HBP rate
290 PA: Single rate
1610 PA: XBH rate
170 PA: HR rate
910 AB: AVG
460 PA: OBP
320 AB: SLG
160 AB: ISO
80 BIP: GB rate
80 BIP: FB rate
600 BIP: LD rate
50 FBs: HR per FB
820 BIP: BABIP

I suppose you could get a rough idea of raw power after 30 PAs based on max exit velocity, but that's pretty much all I can think of.
 
As a side note, that 820 BIP value for BABIP is a real bugger. By the time most players get that many balls in play, their underlying skill set will have likely changed due to age.
 
of course, Lewis is still having a fantastic season.
still rocking a high BABIP, but 13.8% BB-rate with a 28% k-rate is quite nice.
 
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