The 2018 Midterms

Yeah, well, I grant that it could break hard one way or the other. I just think, to paraphrase Marlo Stansfield: [they] think it's one way...but it's the other way.

I think the whole Trump phenomemon, at least as it's tied to the man himself, is rather more fragile than imagined. All the chaos and churn and corrupt amateurism is going to have a reckoning.
 
Noted.

You have predicted it will be a "tsunami". Also noted.

To quote Billie Joe Armstrong: "Wake me up when September ends."

Can't you quote someone with half a brain. I took my older son to one of his concerts. Yikes.
 
Eh, well, I was wrong in November of '16 and could be wrong again. The electoral maps and the economy (for now) favor Rs, but I can't help thinking that the ongoing carny show is going to have consequences eventually.
 
Yeah, well, I grant that it could break hard one way or the other. I just think, to paraphrase Marlo Stansfield: [they] think it's one way...but it's the other way.

I think the whole Trump phenomemon, at least as it's tied to the man himself, is rather more fragile than imagined. All the chaos and churn and corrupt amateurism is going to have a reckoning.

If it's as bad as you say it is then I hope that reckoning comes swiftly and obviously.

Even if it were, I don't have the kind of faith in the American electorate that you do.

Why and how people vote has evolved a great deal over the past 3/4 cycles.
 
So now you get your mapping plus illegals voting. Welcome to america!

just think of where we are in america today that people like this are upset their gerrymandered map was ruled unconstitutional and still believe mass voting fraud is still happening
 
If it's as bad as you say it is then I hope that reckoning comes swiftly and obviously.

Even if it were, I don't have the kind of faith in the American electorate that you do.

Why and how people vote has evolved a great deal over the past 3/4 cycles.

I don't disagree with you and I put no small amount of stock in your opinions in this arena.
 
just think of where we are in america today that people like this are upset their gerrymandered map was ruled unconstitutional and still believe mass voting fraud is still happening

You are aware of what was found in Pennsylvania right in terms of illegals being registered to vote right?
 
If there was ever an administration possessive of the moxie to necessary to defy "the historical record" it would be this one.

Julio makes mention of system-shocking events. I can think of three imminent ones that should completely unravel, in one way or the other, between now and the mid-terms.

???
 
just think of where we are in america today that people like this are upset their gerrymandered map was ruled unconstitutional and still believe mass voting fraud is still happening

Motor voter registration laws. Why would election officers turn away registered voters? Of course mass voting fraud is happening. That isn't even a question. The only thing left is to figure out if anyone in the federal government is either able or willing to stop it. So far they have been denied the data to prove it happens on the basis of not having the data to prove it happens. And states' rights. It's easy to forget sometimes that this is one of those issues where we're okay with states having some sovereignty. For now.
 
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Conor Lamb
‏Verified account @ConorLambPA
55m55 minutes ago


Just got off the phone with my opponent, @RickSaccone4PA,

who congratulated me & graciously conceded last Tuesday's election.

I congratulate Mr. Saccone for a close, hard-fought race & wish him the best.

Ready to be sworn in & get to work for the people of #PA18.
 
Greg Sargent
‏Verified account @ThePlumLineGS
34m34 minutes ago

Greg Sargent Retweeted Greg Sargent

Also in this piece, some staggering new poll numbers from Quinnipiac:

62 percent of women disapprove of Trump, 55 percent strongly.

55 percent of white women disapprove of Trump, 48 percent of them strongly.

Women want a Democratic House by 56-36.
 
Pew Research party ID polling shows a further widening gender gap, plus a doubling of D party ID advantage since the last election cycle.

The comforting news for Rs is that the generic ballot numbers have stabilized in the 7-9% +D range. That's not a bloodbath number. On the other hand, those polls are still measuring registered voters and not likely voters, which may move the needle some.
 
Patrick Marley
‏Verified account @patrickdmarley

BREAKING: Judge orders Gov. @ScottWalker to hold special elections to replace

ex-Rep. Keith Ripp and ex-Sen. Frank Lasee, who left the Legislature in December

to take jobs with Walker's administration.


Walker was refusing to hold specials to fill two vacancies in ostensibly "safe" Republican seats. He--and other GOP govs--have noted Democrats' success in legislative special elections this cycle. And they're scared.
 
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