nsacpi
Expects Yuge Games
[tw]1237027356314869761[/tw]
I think this is a valid point to bring up. And I think it is a good idea to encourage people (without underlying health risks) to go about their lives.
But I also think there is reason to worry (a lot). Italy reported 130 deaths yesterday. We are a much bigger country and several weeks behind in terms of progression of the virus. It is NOT farfetched that in a month or so we might be reporting a multiple of 130 deaths a day. Let's say a 2000 per week. The flu season is roughly 30 weeks and kills 1,000-2,000 per week. It is also not known if Italy has reached any sort of inflection point. Things may get worse from here.
The other thing to point out is about 10% of people infected in Italy are requiring intensive care. Their medical system is being stressed pretty severely. I won't use the word overwhelmed yet, but that is the risk.
I think this is a valid point to bring up. And I think it is a good idea to encourage people (without underlying health risks) to go about their lives.
But I also think there is reason to worry (a lot). Italy reported 130 deaths yesterday. We are a much bigger country and several weeks behind in terms of progression of the virus. It is NOT farfetched that in a month or so we might be reporting a multiple of 130 deaths a day. Let's say a 2000 per week. The flu season is roughly 30 weeks and kills 1,000-2,000 per week. It is also not known if Italy has reached any sort of inflection point. Things may get worse from here.
The other thing to point out is about 10% of people infected in Italy are requiring intensive care. Their medical system is being stressed pretty severely. I won't use the word overwhelmed yet, but that is the risk.