Runnin
Well-known member
A wave of terrifying headlines came out in early September regarding a high-profile model’s new forecast out to January.
“The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next 4 months if mask use wanes,” warned CNN.
“Experts warn U.S. covid-19 deaths could more than double by year’s end,” said the Washington Post.
“Key model predicts 400,000 coronavirus deaths in US by January,” noted The Hill.
The forecast came from the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, which on Sept. 3 attempted to project COVID deaths in the United States through Jan 1.
IHME predicted the U.S. death toll from coronavirus would reach 410,451 in the next four months, which would more than double the nation’s total to date. The forecast comes with a sizable margin of uncertainty, predicting the true number could be as low as 350,000 and as high as 515,000 deaths. But even the bottom of that forecast would mean a shocking increase in deaths over the next 4 months.
Looks like IHME is on track now.
“The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next 4 months if mask use wanes,” warned CNN.
“Experts warn U.S. covid-19 deaths could more than double by year’s end,” said the Washington Post.
“Key model predicts 400,000 coronavirus deaths in US by January,” noted The Hill.
The forecast came from the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, which on Sept. 3 attempted to project COVID deaths in the United States through Jan 1.
IHME predicted the U.S. death toll from coronavirus would reach 410,451 in the next four months, which would more than double the nation’s total to date. The forecast comes with a sizable margin of uncertainty, predicting the true number could be as low as 350,000 and as high as 515,000 deaths. But even the bottom of that forecast would mean a shocking increase in deaths over the next 4 months.
Looks like IHME is on track now.
