Your not really wrong. Greinke started pitching 6 months before he was drafted, Price has probably been pitching since he was 10. A lot of people think the root of the problem with all these arm injuries is from pitching when they are young. The bodies are still growing and they usually pitch too much and throwing breaking balls is bad for their arm at that age too. I wont be surprised if Price and Greinke both have TJ surgery in the next few years because its pretty much inevitable for every pitcher these days but I think when they do they will come back stronger with renewed velocity. I like both Price and Greinke long term. I have been swinging from Greinke's nuts since I heard the behind the scenes story of how the Royals came to pick him. You dont go from being a SS to the most polished pitcher in the draft in 6 months without being a special talent. I said Greinke was going to be the closest thing we see to Maddux again and he is having a Maddux-esque year right now. I bet he does well late in his 30's like Maddux because he doesnt need big time heat. He is doing his best this year with his slowest fastball velocity yet. I would offer both 5 years 150 million. Thats 30 million a year. The 5 years is key, it means they come off the books around the time we need to worry about re-signing all the prospects we have/will be graduating. I know for a fact both grew up as Braves fans. I know this wont be the most money total but if they have confidence in themselves they could cash in again after 5 years. Maybe, just maybe giving a higher amount per year plus their affinity to the Braves would be enough to lure one of them. I would sign them both and trade some of our pitching for hitting if it was up to me.
I like the strategy - just afraid that won't get it done. Both are going to get 7 years from someone, and both are going to get at least $200 million. I just don't personally see any way around it.
However, the fact that both guys grew up as Braves fans COULD work in our favor in a BIG way - if Hart & Company paid close attention to how Rizzo structured the Scherzer deal and Liberty will give them the latitude to structure one (at least one) that way as well. Not exactly like Scherzer's of course, but something like that that defers the big money years to much later in the contract when the dollars won't be nearly what they are today. Agreements like that will certainly be much easier to sell a corporate leadership - rarely have I heard of any corporation that isn't in favor of deferring costs. I'd even try to negotiate something simpler - making an annual $5 million payment to Price or Greinke for 7 years after the deal would reduce the commitment to $25 million per while they were active (if they got the same deal Scherzer got), and Liberty's investment geniuses would easily be able to put that $5 million per to work right now to more than pay for those payments.