Gotta sell high on Julio. He will never be better than he is now. His value can only diminish. I like him a lot. But I love the idea of getting a star hitting prospect for him. Julio could fall off at any moment due to injury or diminishing velocity.
Via Kevin McAlpin tweet:
In 9 starts with Tyler Flowers behind the plate, Julio Teheran has now posted a 1.36 ERA (10 ER/66.1 IP) with 8 BB & 66 Ks.
#Braves
All depends on the return. It's definitely the right time to seek a deal, especially if we're skeptical that he will keep this up, but you still don't trade him just to trade him because his value is high. If someone isn't willing to give you what you're looking for, then you keep the young potential TOR starter with 4 team-friendly years left.
Julio is controlled this year and for FOUR more years. If you count this years salary, he is owed about $40 million dollars total. Right now JT has a 3.4 WAR. Baring major collapse or injury, I don't see any way JT doesn't hit 5 WAR this year. Now assume he hits is average of 3 WAR the remaining 4 years and JT would have a total of 17 WAR... 7 million per and that is roughly 120 million in actual value. That gives a team $80 million in Surplus value. That is very hard to replace... Not sure what the expected WAR of a top 10 talent through his arb years is, but I seriously doubt it reaches 80 million in surplus. So basically JT is worth a top 10 +....
Will another team see and agree with this.. not sure, which is why I don't see us trading JT anymore. I think JT has pitched himself out of the market.
Here's the question. Which scenario is better for 2017 and beyond?
Pitching staff headlined by Julio and Folty with a line up of Albies, Swanson, Freeman, Ruiz, Inciarte, Smith, Flowers, and Markakis; or a pitching staff headlined by Folty and Wisler with a line up that has Albies, Swanson, Freeman, Moncada, Inciarte, Smith, Swihart, and Benintendi?
I know some are saying that is an overpay for Julio, but if Boston wants him, that's the kind of package it will take.
Here's the question. Which scenario is better for 2017 and beyond?
Pitching staff headlined by Julio and Folty with a line up of Albies, Swanson, Freeman, Ruiz, Inciarte, Smith, Flowers, and Markakis; or a pitching staff headlined by Folty and Wisler with a line up that has Albies, Swanson, Freeman, Moncada, Inciarte, Smith, Swihart, and Benintendi?
I know some are saying that is an overpay for Julio, but if Boston wants him, that's the kind of package it will take.
So, let us say that Teheran is kept. Coppy wants to get Will Myers bad. What does San Diego want for him?
KLaw says he can't see Sox trading Moncada and Benintendi for Teheran and Viz.