2024 Field

I think there has been a small move toward credibly accused creepy joe. But not nearly as large as that particular poll suggests.
 
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nsacpi said:
I think a lot of people (including myself) would be ok with Florida's 15 week ban but would now vote for the proposed constitutional amendment because the 6-week ban is so extreme. We'll see how it plays out with respect to the amendment itself and spillover to other races. Rick Scott's race is the one I'd watch.
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We disagree
 
sturg33 said:
Quite a shift

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Majority of polls over the last 2 weeks still have Trump leading by about an average of 2 points. And that is national polls. AZ is Trump +4 on average. MI is Trump +3 on average. GA is Trump +3 on average. PA is Trump +3 on average. WI is about dead even, maybe leaning Biden right now, but we know it will be close in WI regardless. Either way, if GA, MI, and/or PA keep trending the way they are, then Biden has zero shot.
 
Whoa. Big shift. Almost a magical one.

Funny the guy who mocked me for a month for predicting this has taken a well timed break now that it is happening

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I posted in the other thread, but Biden approval rating is back below 40%. Don't let these national polls fool you. He won't win re-election with an approval rating this low.
 
Carp said:
I posted in the other thread, but Biden approval rating is back below 40%. Don't let these national polls fool you. He won't win re-election with an approval rating this low.
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Low approval rating doesn’t mean that they prefer or will vote for Trump over Biden. They won’t.
 
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