It's hardly a big deal or anything, everyone has something like that happen occasionally, it was just weird you were doggedly trying to deny the point.
And yeah, seems like he's basically a top 40 guy right now. If he can turn it around going forward he'll probably jump back into the top 30 for next year I'm sure, but if he doesn't he'll likely drop down to top 50ish. Seems like most the guys on BA/BP still buy his stuff, but are disturbed by the progress he's making on his control issues. Basically they have the same opinions as most of us on this board for the most part as far as Newcomb goes.
But as far as Sale goes, I don't see anyway he goes for anything less than at least one top 20 guy, a couple top 50ish guys, and a one or two top 100ish guys. While he's been pitching pretty similar to Julio this year, he has his previous 4 years of pitching as a TOR starter that puts him into an entirely different stratosphere of value. Most importantly, he's seen as an Ace by most all the front offices in baseball, which cements his value I think.